"""C1 (FX_PLAN.md round 3): metals H4 continuation after a 1.5-sigma move.""" from __future__ import annotations import sys import numpy as np sys.path.insert(0, __file__.rsplit("\\", 1)[0] if "\\" in __file__ else ".") import backtest as bt # noqa: E402 import fx_screen as fs # noqa: E402 from vol_filter_test import vol_pctile # noqa: E402 METALS = ["XAUUSD", "XAGUSD", "XPTUSD", "XPDUSD", "XAUEUR"] def c1(d, gated): o, h, l, c = d["o"], d["h"], d["l"], d["c"] m = bt.sma(c, 20) s = bt.rolling_std(c, 20) z = (c - m) / np.where(s > 0, s, np.nan) a = bt.atr(h, l, c, 14) g = np.nan_to_num(vol_pctile(d), nan=-1) >= 0.50 if gated else np.ones(len(c), bool) tr, i, n = [], 20, len(c) while i < n - 2: side = -1 if z[i] <= -1.5 else (1 if z[i] >= 1.5 else 0) if side == 0 or not g[i] or not np.isfinite(a[i]): i += 1 continue fill = i + 1 entry = o[fill] stop = entry - side * 3.0 * a[i] px, j = None, fill for j in range(fill, min(fill + 10, n)): if (side > 0 and l[j] <= stop) or (side < 0 and h[j] >= stop): px = stop break #--- the move FAILED: price is back through the mean if (side > 0 and c[j] <= m[j]) or (side < 0 and c[j] >= m[j]): px = c[j] break if px is None: j = min(fill + 9, n - 1) px = c[j] tr.append(fs.trade(d, fill, j, side, entry, px)) i = j + 1 return tr if __name__ == "__main__": for gated in (False, True): rows, allt = [], [] for s in METALS: d = fs.load(s, "H4") t = c1(d, gated) allt.append(t) rows.append(fs.score(s, d, t)) fs.pooled(allt, f"C1 gate={'on' if gated else 'off'}") fs.report(f"C1 metals continuation H4, gate {'ON' if gated else 'off'}", rows, 2 * len(METALS))