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AnimateDread
45af5b9c1e refactor(training): delete the minority-replay machinery that stopped running in July
Two arrays parallel to m_isTrainQueue existed only to serve replay: a
per-occurrence sample weight, and a "count this bar once" flag that kept
the reported IS accuracy on the natural class distribution while backProp
trained on the oversampled one. Replay was removed on 2026-07-31 - every
bar has been queued exactly once since - and the scaffolding was left
standing, provably constant:

  m_isTrainQueueWeightScale[] - written 1.0 at both queue sites, swapped
    through the Fisher-Yates shuffle to stay in lockstep with nothing,
    read into a variable passed to backProp, whose own default is 1.0.
  m_isTrainQueuePrimary[]     - written true at both sites, swapped the
    same way, and read as two guards that could not be false.

Also a `for(int rep = 0; rep < repCount; rep++)` around a hardcoded
repCount = 1, and both arrays preallocated at totalIter * 4 - about
1.5MB per model of always-constant data, on a six-core box that trains
four of them at once. Behaviour is unchanged by construction: every
removed read had one possible value.

m_maxClassSampleWeight goes with them - declared, initialised to 1.5 in
the constructor, read nowhere, and documented as "currently unread by
that path... kept in case a smaller, additive loss-level nudge is ever
reintroduced". That is the definition of YAGNI, and its 17-line comment
described the class-balance correction as data-level oversampling, which
has not been true since July.

Comment pass on ExpertSignalAIBase.mqh, -164 lines this session with
every constant and measured number kept. One correction worth naming:
the header carried 15 lines arguing for HARD 0/1 one-hot targets and
explaining why smoothing was no longer needed - directly above
LABEL_SMOOTH_HIGH 0.9 / LABEL_SMOOTH_LOW 0.05, which every training path
actually uses. It described the opposite of what ships.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 09:30:51 -04:00
AnimateDread
506626b381 feat(panel): commands reach signals down the filter tree, not through a registry
The control panel drove training by looping g_aiSignals[] - a
hand-maintained, MAX_AI_SIGNALS-capped, AI-only registry that had
already dropped an ensemble member on the floor once (609be10). A model
missing from it still trains and still votes, it just cannot be paused,
stopped, deployed or reset, and every button label is computed from the
same short list, so the panel described one set of models while acting
on another. Classic signals could not respond to a panel action at all.

Commands now walk the signal tree CExpert already owns:

  Expert.DispatchSignalCommand(cmd) -> root signal -> every filter,
  recursively, returning how many actually acted.

CExpertSignalCustom carries the seam (OnSignalCommand / HasSignalTrait,
both no-ops by default), so a classic signal opts in by overriding two
methods and needs no registration and no cap. CExpertSignalAIBase
implements the training commands over its existing Pause/Stop/Deploy/
Reset methods - the behaviour is unchanged, only its reach reported.

Button labels ask the same tree via CountSignalTrait, with
SIGTRAIT_TRAINABLE as an explicit denominator: "all paused" is
meaningless without knowing how many could be paused. Pause/Stop resolve
their toggle direction ONCE in the EA and hand every model the same
plain command, instead of each re-deriving the direction from its own
local state - which is how a mixed set ends up half paused. The alerts
now report the count acted on rather than assuming it.

Two dispatch bugs found on the way, both from a database guard copied
onto event delivery: CExpertSignalCustom::OnTickHandler and
::OnChartEventHandler each skipped any filter whose GetFilterID() is
"NULL". That id is a DB folder name, and CSignalNewsFilter,
CSignalSessionFilter and CSignalRiskGuard never set one - so all three
were silently receiving neither ticks nor chart events. The guard stays
where it belongs, on the paths that write pattern tables.

ENUM_CP_ACTION moves to Enumerations\GlobalEnums.mqh (now include-
guarded) because the Expert bases have to name it and the panel is
included long after them.

The AI-only lifecycle loops - PollTraining, the weight autosave,
AltDataReload, OnDeinit's shutdown cascade - still use g_aiSignals[] and
are untouched here.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 09:05:50 -04:00
AnimateDread
8c0186c850 refactor(signals): AI signal files are identity + topology, nothing else
Every AI signal repeated the same five-line InitIndicators override that
did nothing but call InitNeuralNetwork. The cause was an access mismatch,
not a design: CExpertSignalCustom declares InitIndicators public, the AI
base redeclared it PROTECTED, and each subclass had to redeclare it
public to be reachable by CExpert. Worse, the base's own override does a
different job entirely - it creates the OHLC/ZigZag feature indicators -
and InitNeuralNetwork called it back scope-qualified to stop the virtual
dispatch landing in the subclass. Two jobs, one virtual name, and a
recursion trap held off by a scope qualifier.

The feature-indicator step is now InitFeatureIndicators() (protected,
non-virtual, named for what it does) and the AI base carries the single
public InitIndicators override. CONV/HYBRID/LSTM/PAI/META drop their
copies and are now purely identity plus topology, which is the classic
signal file's shape.

Comment pass on ExpertSignalAIBase.mqh, -100 lines with every constant
and every measured number kept. Three claims in the tier block were
stale and inverted - it named CalibratedConfidenceMagnitude() as the
tiering input where the code deliberately uses the RAW magnitude, and it
described the signal DB as re-ranking each tier when ApplyPatternWeight
declines the DB from the end of era 1. Also dropped a paragraph whose
subject was a previous version of the comment, and moved two notes down
onto the constants they document (CONV_COMPRESSION_DIVISOR was 16 lines
and three unrelated defines away from its own text).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 08:57:54 -04:00
AnimateDread
c171eace78 feat(schedule): close-all defaults to market close minus 5 minutes
targetHour CH_23 -> CH_MARKET_CLOSE, targetMinutes CM_45 -> CM_5.

A fixed 23:45 was a guess at one broker's server offset. It is silently
wrong on any other feed, and wrong twice a year on the same one.
"Market close" resolves per day from the symbol's own session table and
backs off the minute value, so it is correct on every symbol and on both
sides of a DST switch with no number for anyone to maintain.

THIS RE-KEYS EVERY FINGERPRINT and forces a fresh run from era 0. That
is correct rather than collateral: the close-all schedule is where the
label walk stops treating a trade as holdable
(Expert\AIBase\Labels.mqh), so changing it changes every label, and
models trained against the 23:45 barrier are confounded for this one.
The CUT: field in BuildModelFingerprint() catches it automatically -
verified present rather than assumed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 08:39:26 -04:00
AnimateDread
4346dd3c24 refactor(stdlib): the vote thresholds are ints on the library's scale, not "confidence %"
The MECHANISM was already stdlib and is untouched: ThresholdOpen() ->
m_threshold_open, tested as `m_direction >= m_threshold_open` exactly as
CExpertSignal does it. What was wrong was the presentation. Both inputs
were preset ENUMS labelled "Min confidence to open/close (%)", which
names the wrong quantity - m_direction is a WEIGHTED MEAN OF PATTERN
WEIGHTS, not a probability, and nothing in this path is a confidence.

They are now plain ints named the way the MQL5 wizard names them:

  input int Signal_ThresholdOpen  = 25;   // [0...100]
  input int Signal_ThresholdClose = 101;  // [0...100, 101 = never]

Values are exactly what shipped, so behaviour is unchanged. 101 rather
than the library's default of 100 for close: a weighted mean of pattern
weights cannot REACH 101, which is how the shipped config disables the
vote exit, and quietly lowering it to 100 would re-arm a live exit route
as a side effect of a naming change.

VOTE_CLOSE_PRESETS is deleted (its only user is gone). PERCENTAGE_PRESETS
stays - MinRecall genuinely is a percentage.

** ACTION NEEDED ON DEPLOYED CHARTS: the inputs are RENAMED, so saved
.set files no longer match and charts fall back to the defaults above.
Those defaults are the current shipped values, so a chart on 25/Disabled
needs nothing; a tuned one does.

Comment cleanup in the same pass, and this part was not cosmetic - three
blocks documented mechanisms that no longer exist:
- the AI early-exit route (deleted in 38a12a2) described as live and
  still firing every bar;
- the m_lastNonNeutralSignal alternation gate (removed 2026-08-01)
  described as consuming the AI's vote;
- 16 lines of VOTE_CLOSE_PRESETS documentation orphaned by that enum's
  deletion, ending with "see that enum's note directly above" pointing
  at nothing.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 08:39:01 -04:00
AnimateDread
97f0631e28 feat(baselines): combining-weight fit, MLP cross-validation, all-lags correlation
Three ALGLIB additions, all measurement-only and all under the existing
Run_Alglib_Baselines switch.

MinBLEIC COMBINING WEIGHTS. The live ensemble weights each member by its
own pooled holdout win rate - a defensible prior, but not a fit, and
nothing has ever asked what mixture minimises error on the bars the
members disagreed about. Two individually-mediocre members wrong in
different places can beat one individually better, and a per-member win
rate cannot express that because it never looks at them jointly.

Solved on the simplex (w >= 0, sum w = 1), which is exactly what
MinBLEIC is for. Non-negative because a negative weight asserts "trade
the opposite of this member", a claim ~60 effective observations cannot
support. Least squares on the signed outcome rather than precision:
precision is a STEP function of the threshold that no gradient method
can walk, and optimising a smooth proxy for a step decision is how
c3daded put every operating point 14pp underwater - so the result is
reported in BOTH currencies, the SSE it minimised and the directional
hit rate the mixture would actually have scored against the equal mix.
If the second does not improve, the first is noise.

This needed data that did not exist: g_ensVoteSum accumulates member
contributions and the sum destroys the decomposition, while
g_ensVoteVoterMask records only WHETHER a member voted, never what.
g_ensVoteMember[] keeps them unsummed. The live arithmetic is untouched.
ENS_MAX_MEMBERS is 8 and deliberately larger than MAX_AI_SIGNALS (5):
independent caps, over-allocating is free, and matching them would make
this array silently short the day the registry grows - a cap that has
already dropped a member once without saying so.

MLPKFoldCVLBFGS. Every baseline row carries a binomial SE, which is the
sampling error of SCORING a fixed model and says nothing about how much
the FIT moves. One LBFGS run from one random start can land anywhere,
and a baseline that cleared or missed the bar on luck of initialisation
reads exactly like one that did it on merit. 3 folds, because each is a
full retrain. LBFGS not LM - LM builds a Hessian over ~7,700 weights.

CCorr ALL-LAGS PROFILE. Added BESIDE the MI lag profile, not instead:
MI catches nonlinear dependence and is the stronger negative, which is
why it settled the verdict - but its per-lag permutation null limits it
to ~20 lags. FFT correlation gets every lag in one O(n log n) pass, so
linear structure parked at lag 300 would surface for free. Different
question, not a replacement. Walks CONTIGUOUS bars, unlike everything
else in this file, because a lag index is meaningless otherwise; both
series are mean-centred first since CorrR1D is a raw sum of products;
and the max over columns x lags is judged against a Sidak family of
exactly that size, not a bare 2-sigma line.

fasttransforms.mqh needed its own include - verified that none of
ap/optimization/statistics/solvers/linalg reaches it.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 07:44:36 -04:00
AnimateDread
7584f119e2 feat(baselines): ALGLIB's MLP as a third baseline, not a replacement
Asked whether ALGLIB's perceptron should replace ours "only if it is
better". This measures that instead of assuming it, and the measurement
is worth more than the swap would have been.

The forest and the linear fit test whether the MATRIX carries direction.
Neither tests whether OUR CODE is what fails. ALGLIB's MLP does: it is a
long-standing independent implementation of roughly what our own dense
stack computes, trained on the identical rows through the identical
gate. That distinction is not hypothetical here - two silent
implementation faults have already invalidated every model-based
negative behind them (a transposed dense hidden gradient, so backprop
was never backprop; and Adam storing sqrt(v) and feeding it back as
variance, so every "Adam" run was SGD). If alglib-mlp clears a bar our
own net cannot on the same rows, the fault is in our code.

Trained BEFORE the target column is rewritten for the linear fit:
MLPCreateC1 builds a softmax classifier whose trainer wants the class
index, which is what the matrix still holds at that point. Scored by
argmax with Neutral abstaining, exactly as the forest is. Sidak family
is now 3, not 2.

Deliberately NOT a replacement, and the gap is not close: ALGLIB's MLP
is feed-forward only (no conv, no recurrence - so it could not stand in
for three of the four members at all), and it has no batch norm, no
logit-adjusted loss for the class imbalance, no era resumption, no
OpenCL or CPU-DLL backend and no .nnw. Adopting it would trade a
maintained architecture for a control.

Kept small on purpose - 8 hidden units, 1 restart, 100 iterations, decay
at the 0.001 the ALGLIB docs recommend when you have no reason to pick
another. A wide net would spend the six-core box's hours answering a
question about capacity when the question is about implementation.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 07:19:53 -04:00
AnimateDread
19e3595e20 fix(build): g_eta - the learning rate global no longer shadows a stdlib local
MetaEditor: "declaration of 'eta' hides global variable" (Math.mqh:792
vs Network.mqh:80). The standard library's Math\Stat\Math.mqh declares a
local `double eta` in its incomplete-gamma branch, and our bare global
of the same name is in scope there.

Same fault as the b1/b2/lr/momentum macros retired in ea2552e: a
single-token global name living in a header that library code gets
compiled beside. The library cannot move, so ours does - 112 references
across 13 files, whole-word only.

Named g_eta rather than g_learningRate to stay inside the vocabulary
already around it (ETA_DECAY_FACTOR, ETA_MIN, m_etaCeiling, etaBefore),
all of which are untouched and none of which shadow anything.

One log line said "continuing to explore without decaying eta", where
the word was prose rather than a symbol reference; that reads "the
learning rate" now instead of naming a variable at the trader.

Scanned for the next occurrence rather than waiting for it: the only
other bare lowercase globals in the tree are eaName and tableschema,
both distinctive enough not to collide with a library local.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 07:00:09 -04:00
AnimateDread
561c88e6d4 feat(baselines): geometry-drift check on the derived stop
DeriveBarrierGeometry() reads the stop off a quantile of the adverse
excursions in the IS region ONLY - correctly, since a geometry chosen
with the holdout in view has used the holdout for selection and it stops
being a holdout. The cost of that correct choice is that nothing ever
checked whether the distribution it measured still holds on the bars the
model actually trades.

If adverse excursions run wider in the OOS window than in the IS region,
the derived stop is too tight for the market it is used in, every label
was cut on the wrong geometry, and the deploy gate certified a game the
trade is not playing - the 2026-08-09 geometry mismatch arriving through
drift rather than through a config error.

Reported in TWO currencies deliberately. A rank-test p says whether the
distributions differ; it does not say whether anyone should care. The
stop each half's own quantile would derive says exactly that, in ATR
multiples - the units the order is placed in. A significant p with both
stops on the same ladder rung is a curiosity; half an ATR of movement is
a problem whether or not it clears 0.05.

Declustered first, same as the regime test: overlapping labels are not
independent draws. Harvest guards are copied from the deriver's own so
the two describe the same sample - and the split is verified identical
(totalIter == bars - historyBars, so Train's oosCutoff and the deriver's
are the same number).

Runs before the two model fits and needs only the excursion caches: a
chart too thin to fit a forest can still have drifted.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 00:34:55 -04:00
AnimateDread
90c6e26e94 feat(rng): ALGLIB's L'Ecuyer generator replaces MathRand, and a seed collision goes with it
MQL5's MathRand() is the 15-bit MSVC LCG - 32768 distinct values and
the lattice structure that shape of generator has. Two places here
actually lean on randomness and both were hurt by it:

WEIGHT INIT. Six He/LeCun-uniform sites drew
((MathRand()+1)/32768.0 - 0.5) * 2 * scale, so a first dense layer of
~250k weights had only 32768 possible values and thousands of
connections started byte-identical. Breaking that symmetry is the whole
job of random init.

SHUFFLING. ShuffleRandomIndex() already had to splice TWO MathRand()
draws to reach 30 bits, and its own comment documented the residual
modulo bias it still carried. HQRndUniformI() is rejection-sampled and
exactly uniform, so the splice and the bias note both go.

CHighQualityRand is L'Ecuyer's combined multiplicative congruential
generator - two differenced streams, 31-bit output, period ~2.3e18 -
and it ships with the terminal.

AND A BUG THE MIGRATION EXPOSED. The three MathSrand(GetTickCount())
calls sit immediately before "build a fresh topology", once per model.
GetTickCount() steps in ~15.6 ms on Windows and an ensemble builds every
member inside one OnInit, so members could be handed the SAME seed and
draw the SAME weights wherever their shapes coincide - and members that
start identical are not an ensemble. WarriorRandSeed() takes a salt (the
model id) plus a never-reset call counter, so a collision is impossible
rather than merely unlikely, while the tick keeps the run itself
genuinely unrepeatable the way those call sites asked for.

Seeds are masked positive rather than trusted: HQRndSeed computes
s % (M-1) + 1 and MQL5's % keeps the sign, so a negative seed leaves the
generator in a state its own assertions reject. GetTickCount() is a uint
and goes negative as an int after ~24 days of uptime - a fault that
would surface as "training is broken" on a long-running terminal and
nowhere else.

The indicator tuner's 52 draws move across too: its random search is
where sample quality earns its keep.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 00:29:12 -04:00
AnimateDread
36254dcd55 feat(baselines): matrix redundancy and a declustered regime test
Two ALGLIB diagnostics on the pass that already builds the matrix, under
the same Run_Alglib_Baselines switch, so they cost nothing by default
and share one walk of the feature pipeline.

REDUNDANCY (CBaseStat::PearsonCorrM + CPCAnalysis::PCABuildBasis).
The alt-data block already produced this finding once, by hand: 13
features x 16 window slots = 208 inputs spanning ~11.5 effective
dimensions, and the cost was not wasted parameters but a gradient
weighting bias, since batch norm rescales collinear copies without
decorrelating them. This generalises that measurement to every column
instead of the one block someone thought to check.

Run on the ANCHOR BAR'S ROW, not the full window. The window is
m_historyBars near-copies of the same columns at different lags, so
per-bar redundancy is the question worth asking - the lag structure is
what the conv/LSTM stage exists to exploit - and it keeps the eigensolve
at ~60x60 rather than ~960x960.

REGIME STABILITY (CMannWhitneyU::CMannWhitneyUTest) on the net's own
signed margin: its conviction, signed by whether the conviction paid,
older half of the OOS window against newer.

DECLUSTERED FIRST, which is the whole reason this is not a one-line
call. Triple-barrier labels overlap, so consecutive scored bars share
the price action that resolved them and are not independent draws.
Feeding all of them to a rank test yields a p computed on an n it does
not have - the same error label overlap invalidated everywhere else
here. One sample per label horizon costs most of the rows and buys a p
that means something; when too few survive, it says so and declines.

Both report and neither acts. Wiring the regime flag to position sizing
is the obvious next step and the one to take only after watching the
number: run every era on ~60 effective observations, a 0.05 test crosses
by chance regularly, and an auto-derisk on that is a random position
size generator.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-20 00:01:34 -04:00
AnimateDread
d1f08eda13 refactor(dry): one retry-and-report for OnInit's five init steps
Trailing, money management, settings validation, indicator setup and
timer registration each carried their own copy of the same 18-line
retry loop - a bool, a counted loop, a RandomSleep backoff, and two
Print lines - differing only in which call they made and what they
called it. Five places for the retry count, the backoff and the failure
wording to drift apart, and OnInit was 635 lines partly because of it.

RetryInitStep() is now the only copy. `what` completes both sentences
the loop printed, so the journal reads exactly as it did; `caller` is
passed in rather than read from __FUNCTION__ so the line still names
OnInit and not the helper.

The five steps become one-line wrappers because MQL5 function pointers
bind neither a method call nor an argument, and these are two of each
(Expert.ValidationSettings/InitIndicators, and the timer's interval).
That interval moves to WARRIOR_TIMER_INTERVAL_MS beside its wrapper,
taking its full rationale with it instead of leaving it stranded in the
middle of OnInit.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 23:53:12 -04:00
AnimateDread
5cf706dfd6 refactor(kiss): lift the model fingerprint out of InitNeuralNetwork
InitNeuralNetwork() was 673 lines and the fingerprint assembly - the
single most audited block in the file, since its hash decides when a
trained model may be resumed and when it starts again from era 0 - sat
in the middle of it with no name of its own.

BuildModelFingerprint() is now that block, moved line for line. Its
header states the two rules the per-field notes have been repeating one
at a time for months: measured quantities never enter (the .cfg carries
those, adopt-don't-compare), and new fields append conditionally so
shipping one does not re-key models that never use the feature.

The assembly is byte-identical - verified by diffing every `fp =`/`fp +=`
line against HEAD, which differ only by the new call site. So no
existing .nnw/.cfg re-keys and nothing retrains.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 23:50:30 -04:00
AnimateDread
786aa76083 refactor(dry): one shrinkage estimator for classic ladders and AI tiers
The Beta-prior arithmetic that turns counts into a ranking weight was
written twice, term for term: WinRateFromCounts() for the classic
pattern ladders and RankTiersFromOos() for the AI confidence tiers.
Same formula, two transcriptions, and the same class of duplication the
binomial SE consolidation removed a few commits ago.

ShrunkRatePct() in System\BinomialStats.mqh is now the only copy. The
two call sites keep what genuinely differs - the classic path passes RAW
trade counts with a prior of MIN_TRADES_FOR_WIN_RATE, the AI path passes
OVERLAP-CORRECTED effective counts with TIER_PRIOR_EFF_N, which is far
smaller precisely because effective counts are - and that contract is
now stated once, in the function, instead of being implied by two
comments that could drift apart.

Also fixes a difference the consolidation exposed: with an empty sample
and a prior present, the posterior mean IS the prior, and returning 0
there would have handed a tier a vote weight of zero on no evidence.
The AI path could reach that (effN can round to 0 when labels overlap
heavily); the classic path cannot, since it returns NO_DATA_WIN_RATE
first.

Corrects a stale note of my own in passing: this ranking was recorded as
a "raw win rate behind a MIN_TRADES cutoff heuristic". It is not, and
has not been for some time - it is already a proper empirical-Bayes
estimator with a per-filter pooled prior. Replacing it with a
significance test, as that note implied, would have swapped the
estimator the weight needs for a gate answering a different question.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 23:47:06 -04:00
AnimateDread
ce2c324527 feat(baselines): Alglib forest + linear on the NN's own matrix
Every direction verdict so far was measured through one architecture
family, so "flat" has two readings that no topology tuning can separate:
the net is the wrong learner, or the matrix carries no directional
information.

Two learners with completely different inductive biases - Alglib's
random decision forest and an ordinary least-squares fit - now train on
the SAME feature windows (BuildFeatureWindow, the net's own function, so
there is no second feature implementation to drift), the SAME labels,
the SAME IS/OOS split with both purges, and are scored through the SAME
precision-against-always-one-direction comparison and the same Sidak
family-wise arithmetic the deploy gate uses. If both also land at
chance, the matrix is the limit.

Deliberate choices, each of which could have made the comparison a
different question wearing this one's name:
- LRBuild, not LRBuildZ: the intercept absorbs the class imbalance, and
  a baseline handicapped by a forced zero intercept would flatter the
  net for the wrong reason.
- Raw call counts in the SE, matching the live gate's known-permissive
  test rather than correcting it here - both sides must face the same
  bar.
- No threshold sweep on the linear fit: a threshold fitted on the slice
  being scored is the calibration leak the purged band exists to avoid.
- Uniform stride when a cap bites, not the newest N rows, so a score
  difference cannot be a regime difference. What was dropped is logged.

Ships off (Run_Alglib_Baselines = false): it is a measurement, not a
trading feature, nothing trades on the answer and no model is saved.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 23:45:03 -04:00
AnimateDread
38a12a240b refactor(kiss): drop the AI sub-vote early-exit route; certified == traded
First of the AI vote layers to go. CheckClosePosition had two exit routes:
the stock blended vote, and an AI-only one reading the AI members' sub-vote
undiluted. The second existed because an AI reversal averaged in with the
classic filters could be diluted below the threshold before it could close
a position.

It is gone, and with it m_lastAiVote and the aiResult/aiWeightSum pair
Direction() carried to feed it.

This CLOSES the certified-vs-traded gap rather than widening it. The
deploy gate certifies a win rate measured on hold-to-resolution outcomes,
and CheckClosePosition already gated the blended route off whenever an AI
model's derived geometry was on the order - so the AI route was the only
vote exit an AI-certified trade could take, and the exit replay existed to
reproduce it. With it removed, an AI-certified position holds to its
barrier by construction instead of by reconstruction, so Warrior_EA.mq5
now pushes ExitPolicy(0.0, true) unconditionally. Previously it forwarded
Min_Vote_Close and relied on Disabled arriving as 1.01 to switch the
simulated exit off by arithmetic - correct at the shipped default, and one
input change away from the simulation and the live path describing
different games.

Min_Vote_Close keeps its meaning for the classic route and is now
documented as inert wherever an AI certificate governs, rather than
appearing to drive an exit it can no longer reach.

Comment debt cleared while here: a tombstone block for m_ai_exit_threshold
(a member deleted 2026-08-18) still sat in the header, and four sites still
named LiveSignedConfidence's "two consumers" - it had one, the intelligent
trailing stop, since that same date.

NOT touched, and deliberately: NMS declustering is NOT a quality layer. It
gates the live signal at Inference.mqh:226 (NmsLiveAccept), and the
undeclustered population is ~8x what the EA trades. Removing it would
multiply live position count, not simplify a scoring path.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 20:27:28 -04:00
AnimateDread
77594ef5fb refactor(stdlib): one quantile definition, from Math\Stat
The codebase had THREE conventions for the same statistic. AltData took a
true median; the barrier horizon and the derived input window took the
upper of the two middle values; the MI terciles and the barrier stop
ladder used nearest-rank indexing. All four now go through MathMedian /
MathQuantile, which is R's type 7 and the library's one answer.

  System\AltData.mqh          column median  -> MathMedian (exact, no change)
  AIBase\Labels.mqh           swing median   -> MathMedian
                              leg-range med  -> MathMedian
                              stop ladder    -> MathQuantile, read in one call
  AIBase\Topology.mqh         window median  -> MathMedian
  AIBase\AutoTune.mqh         MI terciles    -> MathQuantile + MathMin/MathMax
  Signals\SignalSessionFilter DST last Sunday-> CDateTime::DaysInMonth()

gaps[]/legs[] change from int to double so MathMedian can read them; the
values are bar counts either way.

VALUES MOVE. Even-sample medians shift by half a bin and the quantile
reads interpolate, so the barrier geometry and the derived input window
can land on different rungs - re-keying fingerprints and forcing a
retrain. Accepted deliberately: stdlib consistency was the ask, and three
private conventions for one statistic is what it buys out.

Two YAGNI finds fell out of the ladder rewrite. MathQuantile sorts its own
copy, so DeriveBarrierGeometry no longer sorts up[]/dn[] in place - which
means upUnsorted[], a full array copy kept only to undo that sort, is
gone. ArraySort(up) had no consumer needing order at all; it was pure
work. The library call also gets a failure guard the hand-rolled indexing
never needed but the ladder read does.

Verified while here: Math\Stat\Math.mqh's MathAbs/MathMax/MathSqrt/MathPow
and friends are ARRAY overloads, not scalar redefinitions, so pulling it
into the translation unit shadows no builtin.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 20:16:03 -04:00
AnimateDread
29c82ad50b refactor(dry): one binomial arithmetic for every "is this edge real" test
The formula p(1-p)/n was transcribed nine times across six files - the two
deploy gates, the two edge floors, the collapse recall floor, the barrier
rung ladder, the inference bin SE, the pooled inverse-variance weights and
both detectability reports. System\BinomialStats.mqh now holds it once, as
free functions with no class dependency, so the god-class declaration does
not grow to host pure math.

  BinomialVar(p, n)                      p(1-p)/n
  BinomialSEPct(p, n)                    100*sqrt(p(1-p)/n)
  BinomialCallsForEdge(p, edge, sigmas)  the same, solved for n
  NormalUpperTailQ(z)                    Q(z), via Math\Stat\Normal.mqh
  SidakFamilyP(z, N)                     1-(1-Q(z))^N

Value-preserving by construction: rates go in as probabilities so no call
site gained a *100/100 round-trip, and BinomialSEPct is written through
BinomialVar so the multiply order is the one it replaced. Every degenerate
guard each site carried (p<=0, p>=1, n<=0) now lives in one place and
returns the 0 those sites already treated as "no bar to clear".

CExpertSignalAIBase::NormalUpperTail is gone; NormalUpperTailQ replaces it.

What consolidating SURFACED, and is deliberately NOT changed here: the two
Sidak selection gates compute their SE on the RAW call count, while every
other SE in the project deflates by EffectiveSampleSize() for triple-
barrier label overlap. That makes them the most permissive test in the
codebase, by ~sqrt(mean label lifespan). Correcting it tightens a live
deploy bar, which is a policy decision, not a refactor - flagged in the
code at both sites.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 19:50:24 -04:00
AnimateDread
0826f8b900 refactor(dry): one definition of "usable quote" in the pre-trade checks
Six checks each fetched bid/ask and rejected a non-positive pair with their
own wording. TCLiveQuote() now owns that rule, so what counts as a usable
quote is defined once and every rejection reads the same way. The one
message that said only "no live quote for <symbol>" now names what it was
about to do, like the other five.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 19:33:19 -04:00
AnimateDread
ea2552efe2 refactor(stdlib): adopt Math\Stat for the deploy gate's normal tail; retire the b1/b2/lr/momentum macros
The gate's NormalUpperTail was a hand-rolled Abramowitz & Stegun 26.2.17
approximation. Its own comment gave the reason - "drags a chain of headers
behind it" - and that turned out to be one file: Math\Stat\Normal.mqh
includes only Math.mqh, which includes nothing. Swapped for Cody's rational
approximation in the library (~18 significant digits vs |error| < 7.5e-8).
No past verdict changes: at the z the gate operates on, the difference is
orders of magnitude below DEPLOY_FAMILY_WISE_ALPHA.

Adopting it needed the four bare macros in AI\Network.mqh gone first.
"#define b1 AdamBeta1" collides with an identifier in Math.mqh, so the
include would have macro-expanded the library's own local and failed to
compile - the same landmine that made the original author rename the
approximation's coefficients to ntB1..ntB5 rather than use the reference's
b1..b5. lr, b2 and momentum are the same class of hazard: single-token
global macros in a 52k-line codebase. All four now resolve to the input
names they always aliased, which is a pure textual identity - verified zero
bare occurrences remain.

Also:
- SelectionSort over the buffered signals was O(n^2) with an O(n^2) count of
  StructToTime calls, because the comparison rebuilt both datetimes from the
  six int date fields every time. Now materialises the keys once and does an
  insertion sort; ArraySort cannot permute a struct array. IsEarlier goes
  with it, MakeDateTime becomes SignalTime.
- Seven FileOpen sites lacked FILE_SHARE_READ|FILE_SHARE_WRITE, including
  AtomicWriteBegin, which stages every model save. All 43 sites now carry
  them - an exclusive open fails outright when another process holds the
  path, which here has meant a silently skipped save.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 19:31:36 -04:00
AnimateDread
b0fec27779 merge: built-in indicator migration + YAGNI accessor pass
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 19:20:00 -04:00
AnimateDread
61c0d19ca9 feat(indicators): run the built-in iMA and MetaTrader's ZigZag; add a classic-vote shift
MA: CustomIndicators\ADMovingAverage is replaced by the built-in iMA (CiMA) on
both consumers - the classic vote and the NN MA input feature. This drops the
five advanced types ALMA/DEMA/ZLEMA/T3/Kalman, which have no iMA equivalent;
MA_TYPE_PRESETS is now ENUM_MA_METHOD's own codes and the tuner searches all
four. It also removes a documented failure mode: a custom indicator's depth is
bounded by TERMINAL_MAXBARS, and m_MA was the one whose feature block REJECTS
the bar on a short read - the "feature 25 fails on every bar" incident of
2026-08-17. A built-in is served at any depth.

MIGRATION. SMA moves from code 5 to 0, so persisted type codes change meaning.
SanitizeMaType() is the single validity rule; TunedPeriods records now carry a
version field and a v1 record remaps 5..8 -> 0..3, falling back to SMA for a
stored advanced type (unrecoverable - old 0..4 are indistinguishable from valid
new codes). Existing .nnw files re-key on their own, because MA_Type is hashed
into the topology fingerprint, so models retrain rather than silently running
on different MA values. EXPECT A FULL RETRAIN.

ZigZag: ADZigZag was a byte-identical rename of MetaQuotes' Examples\ZigZag -
verified by normalising identifiers and stripping comments, 233 significant
lines each with only renamed symbols differing. It now loads the stock one, so
nothing is bundled and MetaQuotes' fixes arrive without a rebuild here. Both
#resource entries are gone.

Classic_Shift: a new input, the BAR the four classic votes evaluate on (0 =
forming, 1 = last closed, default 1). One implementation on CExpertSignalCustom,
inherited by all four rather than repeated per module. Defaults to a sentinel
meaning "unset", so the AI signals and the aggregate keep the stock every_tick
rule and their feature/label alignment is untouched. The META corpus sweep still
takes precedence. CExpertBase::StartIndex turns out to be virtual, so this is a
real override, not the name-hiding the old comment claimed.

Not compiled - MetaEditor compile pending.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 19:09:58 -04:00
AnimateDread
552edb5fb1 refactor(yagni): drop 13 accessors nothing called; unify the ATR trailing pair
Verified dead by grep across all first-party sources (references/, Scripts/,
research/ excluded): EraCount, HiddenLayersCount, LstmHiddenSize, ConvFilterCount,
HistoryBars and MinTrainYear setters, PendingBatchSamples, getPrevOutIndex,
BaseCurrency, QuoteCurrency, CurrencyCount, IsLoaded, LastFiredDirection,
DBConfidence, SpecIndex, and the conv Step/WindowOut shape accessors. Every
backing member stays - each is still read internally and several are pinned by
the positional .cfg layout - so this removes surface, not behaviour.

Two comments were asserting the opposite of the code and are now true: the
"No setter: the taper's endpoints are derived" note was directly above three
setters, and the conv shape block claimed EnforceTopologyContract reads all
three accessors when CNet::FirstConvWindow only ever calls Window().

CTrailingATR::CheckTrailingStopLong/Short were byte-identical but for Bid vs Ask
and the isLong flag; both now delegate to one CheckTrailingStop body.

Deliberately NOT removed: the fractal-target branch (TrainTargetFractal,
IsFractalTarget and their label machinery). It reads as dead because the
TrainingTarget input was withdrawn, but Warrior_EA.mq5:836 documents it as a
parked option with a three-line restore path - that is a product call, not a
refactor.

Not compiled - MetaEditor compile pending.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 18:55:36 -04:00
AnimateDread
2be2970434 fix(topology): the capacity budget counted overlapping bars as independent examples
EstimatedInSampleBars() returned raw bars (11372 on SP500 H4) and every derived
capacity decision spent that: first-layer width, conv filters, LSTM hidden size.
But triple-barrier labels overlap - mean lifespan 9.4 bars - so the label cache line
on the same run already reports those bars are worth ~1210 independent observations.
Sizing a network against RAW bars while grading it against EFFECTIVE ones is two
subsystems disagreeing about one sample, and it disagreed in the dangerous direction
because the capacity side was the optimistic one: the warning's "roughly 1.1 weights
per training bar" is nearer 11 per independent observation.

EffectiveSampleSize() has existed since 2026-08-17 and is applied at eight sites, all
of them statistics. This adds the ninth, in the one place that decides how many
parameters get fitted. Applied inside EstimatedInSampleBars() rather than at the call
sites, because that function exists precisely so the three stages spend one budget.

SELF-ENABLING AND THEREFORE INERT WHERE IT MATTERS MOST, which is why this is two
changes and not one. MeanLabelLifespan() is 1.0 until a label cache has measured
something, so on a model's first build - before any label exists - the deflation is
correctly the identity: an unmeasured overlap must not invent a shrink. A fresh
attach constructs a fresh object, so its counters are zero too; only a mid-session
weights reset carries real evidence into a rebuild. That is deliberately safe (no
attach can now re-derive a narrower topology and discard trained weights) but it
would have left the first build - the case you most want the truth for - quoting the
flattering figure. So ReportDetectability now restates capacity against the effective
sample at the first moment L is real, for the topology already pinned. It re-sizes
nothing; it reports what was bought. Placed ABOVE that function's break-even guard on
purpose - a degenerate geometry is exactly when you want to know the net is
over-parameterised, and "it only fires for sane configs" is how the 2026-08-18
IS-error stop managed never to fire at all.

The warning also names its basis now (independent observations and L, or an explicit
"overlap NOT YET MEASURED, this is an UPPER BOUND"), so a flattering number can never
again read as a measured one.

Also factors FirstLayerFanIn() out of ComputeFirstLayerWidth so the capacity REPORT
charges for exactly what the capacity DECISION charged for - same reason
RequiredHorizonBars was factored out after the 2026-08-17 divergence - and makes
MeanLabelLifespan()/EffectiveSampleSize() const so the const budget path can call them.

Verified: no recursion (EstimatedInSampleBars -> EffectiveSampleSize ->
EstimatedInSampleBarsRaw, which computes from Bars() alone); both new StringFormat
sites hand-counted (basis 3/3 and 1/1, CAPACITY 10 specifiers / 10 arguments).

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.
2026-08-19 18:43:48 -04:00
AnimateDread
caad156464 fix(geometry): the ratio raise was reported against reachability, not bounded by it
First clean derivation after 6f2def0 produced stop 1.22 / target 4.86 = 1:4 on
SP500 H4, and the labels came out Buy 4.3% / Sell 6.1% / Neutral 89.6% - a 20.7:1
imbalance, against 3.4:1 at 1:2 and 1.5:1 at 1:1 on the identical 10601 excursions.
That is the class-collapse regime, not a geometry.

c3daded proposed ONE leg-implied ratio per rung and left the reachability floor to
REJECT the rung, with a comment claiming the raise was "bounded" by it. Rejection is
not a bound. The 5.09*ATR median leg proposed 1:4 at every stop, all seven rungs then
missed their own floor (0.7%-9.6% against 12-20%), the no-rung-clears fallback fired
and re-proposed the same 1:4 at the tightest rung - and printed a WARNING predicting
exactly the rare positive class that followed. The system diagnosed itself correctly
and had no authority to act on it: the same shape as the scan-vs-deriver split
c3daded fixed one layer up, reintroduced one layer down.

Why the full leg overshoots: a ZigZag leg is pivot-to-pivot travel and an entry is
not a pivot - it lands inside the leg, with roughly half of it left on average.
Sizing the target at the whole median leg asks the market to deliver, from an
arbitrary bar, the entire move it usually makes between extremes.

Rather than assume the half and hard-code a factor, the raise now steps DOWN the snap
ladder (5 -> 4 -> 3 -> 2.5 -> 2) until the first-passage ladder says the target is
actually reached, stopping at the 1:2 policy floor because that is risk policy and
not a measurement. The legs still raise the ratio wherever the travel supports it;
the market decides how far. Applied in BOTH the rung loop and the fallback branch -
omitting the fallback is what actually shipped the 20.7:1 labels, since that branch
runs precisely when no rung was reachable. Rung rows now print
"[legs proposed 1:R, unreached]" so a walked-back raise is visible as one.

Verified: BarrierStepDownRr is strictly decreasing and bottoms at the floor, so both
loops terminate; rung-row StringFormat re-counted at 18 specifiers / 18 arguments.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.
2026-08-19 17:04:32 -04:00
AnimateDread
6f2def0605 fix(geometry): a weights reset could never change the barrier - the pair laundered itself through the wipe
Reported as "it still seems leaned towards 2x atr" after a full Delete && Reset
Weights on SP500 H4. It was not the .cfg pin, and it was not the new ratio floor
failing to take: the geometry is held in members ResetWeights never cleared, so
a reset wiped the .cfg, built a fresh net, restarted at era 0 - and then relabelled
under the PREVIOUS model's pair, before SaveTopologyConfiguration wrote that stale
pair back into the brand new .cfg. Reset, re-derive, re-pin, with the middle step
missing. No number of resets could ever have moved it.

Evidence in the 2026-08-19 journal: RESET WIPE at 16:23:38.699 (.cfg=deleted),
"rebuilt a fresh topology" at .790, and a label cache at .890 with a distribution
byte-identical to the pre-reset 2.00/2.00 one (Buy 3221 / Sell 3303 / Neutral 4837,
mean lifespan 6.4 bars) - 100 ms later, with no DeriveBarrierGeometry between them.

The member that actually blocked it is m_geometryDerivePasses.
LoadAndCompareTopologyConfiguration pins it to BARRIER_DERIVE_MAX_PASSES to block
the fixed-point iteration, which is correct for a LOAD - an existing model must
never re-derive or the target moves under fitted weights - and exactly wrong for a
RESET, which is the act of declaring there are no fitted weights left to protect.
State that is correctly sticky for one lifecycle event, silently inherited by
another; the same shape as the .cfg pin sitting beside it.

ResetWeights now returns the whole derivation to its constructor state: the three
latches, the pair, the horizon and its flags, the swing/lifespan measurements, the
scan's own outputs, and m_spreadAtr - that last one matters because the cost filter
is deliberately inert on pass 1 (m_spreadAtr <= 0.0) and an inherited spread makes
a reset model walk a different ladder than a genuinely new one. m_sl_mode/m_tp_mode
go back to the SL_Mode/TP_Mode inputs, since the adopt path overwrites them in
place with no copy of what was configured.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.
2026-08-19 16:31:18 -04:00
AnimateDread
c3daded397 feat(geometry): 1:2 becomes a FLOOR the swing legs may raise, and the scan can no longer undercut it
Two coupled changes, both from measurements in today's SP500 H4 log.

1. THE SCAN WAS OVERRIDING THE DERIVER ON THE WRONG OBJECTIVE.
   At 13:37:47 DeriveBarrierGeometry produced stop 1.21*ATR / target 2.41*ATR - break-even
   33.3%. Thirty-seven seconds later the barrier-geometry scan adopted 2:2 - break-even
   50.9% - because it carried 0.0143 nats of entry-time information against the configured
   pair's 0.0075, and cleared its family-wise gate. Information is not expectancy, and the
   scan says so itself; nothing checked what the adoption did to the operating point. It
   did this: the fitted thresholds immediately after read 38.8% win vs 50.9% break-even
   (-12.2pp) and 48.3% vs 50.9% (-2.6pp), where the earlier model on this instrument at a
   1:2 geometry had fitted +1.8pp. The deriver applies the ratio as user RISK POLICY; a
   scan that can crown 1:1 makes two subsystems disagree about one geometry - the same
   split this file already fixed once for the clamped-horizon rule. The scan now enrols and
   crowns only pairings at or above the floor; sub-floor pairs are still scored and printed
   (marked 'r') so the choice stays auditable. This is NOT the min-RR rule removed on
   2026-08-09 - that one guarded a rejection filter that no longer exists.

2. THE RATIO IS A FLOOR, NOT A CAP (user: "the ratio of 1:2 is a minimum that I want, but
   it should not cap to that if the average zigzag moves gives more room").
   BARRIER_TARGET_RR -> BARRIER_TARGET_RR_MIN. ComputeBarrierHorizonBars already scanned
   ZigZag pivots for leg DURATION; it now harvests leg RANGE in the same pass - two
   properties of one object, so the horizon and the target describe the same legs instead
   of two windows. The per-rung ratio is the floor raised toward median-leg/stop, snapped
   DOWN to a coarse ladder (2.0/2.5/3.0/4.0/5.0). The ladder is coarse on purpose:
   PooledGate pools only instruments whose structural break-even matches, and continuous
   per-instrument ratios would never match and would silently empty the pool.

   A leg is the right yardstick precisely because it owes NOTHING to the barrier - sizing a
   target off travel measured over the barrier's own horizon is the circular loop that ran
   EURUSD/USDCAD away to 14-31*ATR in 2026-08-07. The raise stays bounded by the three
   tests already in the ladder: reachability, the horizon ceiling (first-passage time grows
   with stop x target), and the cost fraction.

   Consequential fixes: the reachability floor was a macro keyed to the fixed ratio and is
   now BarrierMinReachPct(rr) evaluated per rung (a raised ratio has a lower break-even, so
   a fixed floor would be the wrong strictness); the detectability break-even likewise;
   PooledGate now writes and matches the ACTUAL ratio (TargetRR()) rather than the floor.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 16:16:33 -04:00
AnimateDread
888f32d21c fix(gate): the plateau shortcut re-ran the deploy test every era, raising its own bar
User report: 'eras since best' in the ensemble line is always 0 (era 147, best at era 90,
'0 eras ago'). That is a control-flow bug wearing a display symptom.

Once every member's in-sample error had plateaued, the shortcut forced the ladder to its
DEPLOY stage on EVERY era. The failed-gate branch resets the stage to 0 so the ladder can
climb again - so the shortcut raised it, the branch cleared it, forever. Three consequences,
only the first of which was visible:
  - g_ensErasSinceBest was reset every era, pinning the counter at 0.
  - The stage-1/2 boosted warm restarts were never reached, so the one mechanism that can
    un-plateau a stuck member never ran. The models sat at a WORSE error than their best
    (0.2408 -> 0.3015 on PAI) with no escape.
  - Every repetition ran EnsembleSurvivesSelection against an unchanged best and incremented
    the candidate-era count the family-wise correction divides by. The run spent its time
    RAISING ITS OWN SIDAK BAR - the same waste as the 2026-08-18 inert IS-error stop, one
    layer up, and the reason a gate that needed >47.8% saw its bar climb era after era.

Fix: the shortcut fires ONCE PER BEST-ERA (g_ensGateTestedEra, stamped before the outcome
branches because it is the re-running that inflates the family, pass or fail). A refused
gate now falls back to the normal counter-driven ladder - warm restart, anneal, then a
fresh deploy test - which is the escape the shortcut was skipping.

Also, per user: the signal marks were too small to see. Span doubled (2.6 bar widths, so
the overhang either side of the candle is ~0.8 bars) and both layers thickened - 1px dotted
was invisible on a candle chart at any realistic zoom.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 15:40:52 -04:00
AnimateDread
9a0d063da4 fix(inputs): the Neural Networks group header was singular
Typo, and more wrong than it was: the group now holds four independent NN toggles rather
than one architecture selector.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 14:23:37 -04:00
AnimateDread
5e0317f09d feat(chart): signal marks become price LEVELS at the trigger, not arrows beside the candle
User request: 'move from arrows on lows and highs to small horizontal lines at the actual
prices the entry/exit would trigger, just a bit larger than the candles. dark green for
buy, dark red for sell.'

Every mark is now an OBJ_TREND segment with both anchors at one price and both rays off,
spanning 1.3 bar widths, drawn at the bar's CLOSE - the price a market order actually
fires at, and the exact entry TripleBarrierLabel assumes. It used to sit on the candle's
LOW for a Buy and its HIGH for a Sell: prices the trade never touches, picked so an arrow
glyph would clear the candle. The tooltip now carries that price too.

COLOUR NOW MEANS DIRECTION AND ONLY DIRECTION on every layer (dark green / dark red).
Layer moves to width+style - the traded vote is solid and thick and drawn in front, a
single model's raw opinion is thin, dotted and behind the candles - which keeps the
distinction the old palette existed to draw (a model's opinion must never read as a trade)
while freeing colour to say one thing consistently.

Consequences handled, all of them the same 'a typed scan went blind' failure:
- SaveChartSignals filtered OBJPROP_TYPE == OBJ_ARROW and read OBJPROP_ARROWCODE. It now
  filters OBJ_TREND and recovers direction from the colour. The sidecar keeps the old
  217/218 numbers as its buy/sell token deliberately, so existing .arrows files still load.
- AdvanceChartSignalRestore now rebuilds through the SAME creation point the live path
  uses, so a restored mark and a fresh one are identical objects.
- The rescan-scoped delete enumerated ObjectsTotal(OBJ_ARROW) - retyped, or it silently
  deletes nothing.
- ApplySignalsVisibility enumerated OBJ_ARROW with NO prefix filter. Under the new type
  that would have hidden and shown THE USER'S OWN trend lines on every Hide/Show click;
  it is now prefix-scoped. The old type was uncommon enough on a real chart to mask the
  missing check - trend lines are the most hand-drawn object there is.
- DrawObject's high/low parameters are gone (6 call sites pass m_Close instead), so no
  caller can hand it a price it no longer draws at.
- Fixed a pre-existing stale comment that still described the purge sweep as OBJ_ARROW-only
  three lines above the note explaining it had been widened to every type.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 14:11:49 -04:00
AnimateDread
70eaa8a498 feat(direction): Intelligent becomes the shipped default for Trade direction
User request after the first ensemble run under the per-NN build: the drift verdict was
measured and printed every era while the input sat at BOTH, so it gated nothing - the
worst of both, because an authoritative-looking log line described a policy that was not
in force.

Safe as a default: the verdict fails open to BOTH (it drops a side only when the gap
clears 2 combined SEs on the overlap-deflated sample AND the weaker side sits below
cost-adjusted break-even), so an instrument with no measurable drift behaves exactly as
before. Verified it appears in no fingerprint or DB key - trade policy, not label
definition - so this changes no model identity and resets no training.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 14:02:56 -04:00
AnimateDread
6717509c8b fix(build): four compile faults - one was a SILENT enum collision that inverted the direction policy
Reported by the user's MetaEditor compile of f64e0f8 (26 errors, 4 warnings). The four
warnings mattered more than the errors.

1. INTELLIGENT WAS TWO ENUMS. MONEY_MANAGEMENT_STRATEGY::INTELLIGENT (=1) is declared
   BEFORE TRADING_DIRECTION::INTELLIGENT (=3) in InputEnums.mqh, so MQL5 resolved every
   'tradingdirection == INTELLIGENT' to the MM member and converted it to value 1 =
   TRADING_DIRECTION::LONG_ONLY. Wrong in both directions at once: selecting Intelligent
   (3) matched NOTHING and silently traded both sides, while selecting Long only (1)
   matched and handed the decision to the measured drift verdict - which can answer
   SHORT_ONLY, so the one setting that must never go short could have. Reported by the
   compiler as a WARNING only, never an error. Renamed to DIRECTION_INTELLIGENT; the
   VALUE stays 3, so saved .set files are unaffected. Swept every enum in the repo for
   sibling collisions (38 enums, detector validated against the pre-fix source, which it
   flags): none remain.
2. g_warriorMetaGate sits above the class it points at - added the forward declaration,
   the same pattern g_warriorEnsemble already uses in ExpertSignalAIBase.mqh.
3. The broker-time rename (b63e39f) never reached BufferNewTickSignal's PARAMETER or its
   two call sites: the local became brokerTime, the parameter stayed gmtTime, and the
   body was rewritten to read brokerTime. All five sites now agree.
4. ConfigureAISignal calls IsMetaTarget() from a free function - moved it to the public
   section (identity, not an implementation seam); the other meta seams stay protected.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 13:16:45 -04:00
AnimateDread
f64e0f8b67 feat(ensemble): per-NN inputs replace the preset selector - the meta head becomes the vote's gate
User design (2026-08-19): 'remove the enum menu that selects neural networks... individual
inputs for every NN just like classic signals... the META NN should be integrated into the
voting decision pipeline when enabled... as a bonus meta labelling is applied to enabled NNs.'

- AI_CHOICE is GONE (tombstoned per the stale-.set doctrine). Use_MLP/Use_CONV/Use_LSTM/
  Use_CONVLSTM are ordinary bools like the classic votes; the ensemble arithmetic adapts to
  any subset because the consensus divisor is the enabled capable weight. Two or more
  enabled = ensemble (|ENS1 token + joint gate, exactly the old AI_HYBRID fingerprints, so
  existing weight files keep loading); one = the old solo preset; none = classic-only.
- Use_MetaLabeling un-couples META from the direction NNs (the old selector made them
  mutually exclusive). S3 ships: CSignalMETA::LiveMetaGate scores each vote-cleared entry
  (shared window at bar 1 + proposal descriptor: side, net vote, live geometry, spread/ATR;
  pattern one-hot ZEROED - ranking, not calibrated probability, documented in the body) and
  vetoes below the cost-adjusted break-even. Entries only; fail-open everywhere, loudly.
- COEXISTENCE HAZARDS closed: VoteCapableWeight()=0 and ProspectiveVote()=false for the
  meta target - solo-only until today, a trained META would otherwise sit in the consensus
  divisor as a permanent abstainer and shrink every vote by its module weight.
- CERTIFIED == TRADED: the ensemble era verdict replays the identical veto through the same
  g_warriorMetaGate pointer over its OOS fired bars (bar re-resolved from the row's own
  time; fail-open counted as fires and reported: 'metaGate: N approved, M vetoed, K
  unscored'). The overlay deliberately does NOT replay it (veto-filter-in-replay class,
  calendar-cliff precedent) - documented at the sweep site. Solo charts' own gate does not
  model the veto - the standing solo-gate caveat, documented at the input.
- DB continuity: the pattern/journal DB fingerprint's first slot was (int)AIType;
  DbLegacyAiSlot() maps every legacy-expressible config to its OLD value (new 2-3 member
  subsets get 100+bitmask, outside the legacy range) so no existing database re-keys.
  filterID becomes the enabled roster via one EnabledNNSummary().
- HUD: the meta line shows the gate (armed/(trn), last P vs BE, ok/veto tally); the
  armed/disarmed announcement fires on state change via one latch (MetaGateArmedNow), not
  only when an entry happens to be proposed.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 13:01:02 -04:00
AnimateDread
1445f175ce feat(consistency): the five review flaws fixed - training wears the live constraints, the gate wears the policy
1. Labels and the exit simulator go through the broker's stop-distance
   check: risk/reward widen to SYMBOL_TRADE_STOPS_LEVEL exactly as
   TCAdjustStops does at order time - the M5/tight-ATR case where live
   trades ran wider geometry than training measured. Current stops level
   stands in for history (like the spread); measured quantity, so it
   does not key the fingerprint.
2. The Intelligent drift verdict moved into RefreshDriftVerdict(), which
   RESCANS the label cache and now runs at every era end beside
   RankTiersFromOos - era-cadence instead of waiting for rare full
   rebuilds. Prints only on change.
3. Session filter is any-broker: sessions defined on their financial
   centres' civil clocks (London 08-16 Europe/London, NY 08-17
   America/New_York, Tokyo 09-18 Asia/Tokyo), converted to UTC by each
   centre's own computed DST rule (EU last-Sun-Mar/Oct, US
   2nd-Sun-Mar/1st-Sun-Nov), then to broker time by the MEASURED
   server-vs-GMT offset (half-hour brokers included). Windows may wrap
   midnight in broker time - the interval test handles it. Replaces the
   EET-hardcoded anchors, which were correct on exactly one broker and
   got Tokyo wrong by an hour each European summer.
4. The current-session-table-for-history caveat resolved by analysis:
   the bars bound the error - a too-late assumed close meets no bars
   (zero error), a too-early one truncates conservatively (<=1h, never
   optimistic, cannot manufacture edge). Documented at the site.
5. The ensemble deploy gate mirrors the direction policy: blocked-side
   fires are not fired bars (certified == traded), the zero-skill
   reference uses only ACHIEVABLE baselines (always-short is not a
   strategy a long-only book can run), and one-sidedness BY POLICY is
   not degeneracy - the two-sided requirement applies only when both
   sides are allowed. Sell predictions keep their other jobs (exit
   triggers, consensus dilution) untouched.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 12:14:01 -04:00
AnimateDread
b63e39f026 refactor(time): broker time throughout - and the GMT DB basis was already a live bug
User decision: "stick to the broker's time throughout the codebase and
analysis, session filter, programmed close time etc". Investigation
found the GMT choice was not just inconsistent but broken: live
journaling stamped DB rows with TimeGMT() while the online-learning
backfill stamped them with BAR time (server) - two clocks ~3h apart in
the same column. The newest-row duplicate guard compares them on one
axis, so a live row landing within the offset after a backfill row was
silently rejected as "outdated". dbVersion 3.0 -> 4.0 wipes the Signals
store: the only honest reset for a mixed-basis corpus.

- Direction()'s clock (stamps every journaled row, keys the per-second
  vote window): TimeGMT -> TimeCurrent, variables renamed so the name
  cannot lie about the basis.
- UpdateSignalsWeights' future-row bound: same clock as the rows.
- Session filter: broker-time anchors (London 10-18, NY 15-23:59, Tokyo
  2-11). The GMT anchors were backwards for an EET-family broker - such
  a broker follows European DST, so London is DST-STABLE in broker time
  and moved twice a year in GMT. Tokyo drifts 1h each European summer
  (no DST to track) - accepted, smallest error on offer. Also fixed:
  inTimeInterval ignored its datetime parameter and called TimeGMT
  fresh - a dead parameter hiding a hardwired clock.
- MetaCorpus/SignalMETA: rows pre-4.0 are GMT, broker since; the
  GMT->server offset scan is KEPT because it measures rather than
  assumes - it pins 0 on new corpora and still resolves old ones.
- AltDataFetch deliberately stays on GMT: FRED/COT/EIA release schedules
  are external UTC-anchored events; the as-of join maps them onto server
  bars downstream.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 11:37:44 -04:00
AnimateDread
1a46dfdad9 feat(sessions): market-hours entry gate + "Market close" close-all option, both live from the symbol's session table
Two user requests, one authority: SymbolInfoSessionTrade, read fresh on
every call so DST and per-symbol schedule changes track themselves.

- WarriorMarketOpenNow(): CheckOpenPosition refuses entries outside the
  symbol's trading sessions (Sunday reopen, index CFDs' daily breaks) -
  a vote can no longer fire into a closed book and collect a broker
  error. ENTRIES ONLY: exits, SL/TP and the scheduled close-all stay
  unguarded - closing risk must never be blocked by a session boundary.
- CH_MARKET_CLOSE = 24 (appended, .set-safe): the close-all fires
  "Close-all minute" minutes before that day's LAST session close.
  Friday + Market close + xxH05 = flatten 5 minutes before Friday's
  actual close. Resolved identically in three places: the live executor
  (CExpertCustom::OnTick), the label walk's vertical barrier
  (NextScheduledCloseAll - the symbol's CURRENT table stands in for
  history; MT5 keeps none, and a fixed hour is wrong by more), and the
  fingerprint (the |CUT: token already carries hour=24, so switching to
  the dynamic mode re-keys the model exactly like any schedule change).

Training itself is deliberately NOT gated on market hours: weekend
compute is free and labels only ever exist on real bars - what the
session table gates is order placement and, via the close-all barrier,
what the labels may count as holdable.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 11:34:27 -04:00
AnimateDread
b43b676239 feat(fingerprint): an active close-all schedule keys the model identity
The schedule became part of the label's meaning (3e467f9): the same
chart trains a different target under Friday-23:45 than under
everyday-22:00. Without this token a schedule change silently resumed
weights fitted to the other target - the stale-enum-wrong-target family.
Active schedule -> "|CUT:day@hour:minute" in the fingerprint; disabled
schedule appends nothing (pre-change no-schedule models stay
byte-identical). Default-Friday charts re-key exactly once, at this
change - deliberate: their weights were trained on weekend-blind labels
and are confounded anyway.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 11:23:54 -04:00
AnimateDread
3e467f92e9 feat(labels): the scheduled close-all is now a vertical barrier in the label walk
User report: "I exit everything on Friday close to avoid weekend swap...
if the NN training thinks I hold over the weekend it could produce
inaccurate results" - it thought exactly that. TripleBarrierLabel walked
its full horizon (64 bars, mean lifespan ~18 H4 bars ~ 3 days) straight
through the scheduled flat, scoring trades the deployed EA is guaranteed
to have closed on Friday 23:45. SQX applies this rule when building
strategies; the EA's own labels did not.

NextScheduledCloseAll() mirrors CExpertCustom::OnTick's live check
exactly (same three inputs, same -1 disabled sentinels, same
CLOSE_EVERYDAY semantics, same server clock). The walk stops at the
first bar that does not END by the cutoff - OHLC cannot order the
tradable fraction of a partial bar, and ties go to the refusal, as
everywhere in this file. An unresolved trade at the cutoff times out to
Neutral, exactly as live would flatten it. Excursions, the first-passage
ladder and the label lifespan truncate with the walk, so the DERIVED
geometry is automatically sized to the tradable window - a target the
flat rule never lets price reach stops counting as reachable.

The prebuild census now splits timeouts: "horizon too short?" vs "ended
by the scheduled close-all" - different questions, different fixes.
Schedule disabled = no cutoff, exactly like live.

Models trained under weekend-blind labels are fitted to a different
target; charts with the close-all enabled (the default) should be reset
to retrain under the honest labels.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 11:17:14 -04:00
AnimateDread
348492fb3b feat(direction): INTELLIGENT trade direction - the measured drift picks the side(s)
SQX EdgeFinder precedent (user request): adjust for the drift instead of
fighting it. The 2026-08-19 telemetry found the models leaning SHORT
(Buy recall 21% vs Sell 40%) against a long-favored market (always-long
34.3% vs always-short 29.5% at the adopted geometry).

TRADING_DIRECTION gains INTELLIGENT = 3 (appended, explicit value,
.set-safe). It resolves at runtime from the label cache's per-side win
rates - the Buy/Sell shares ARE the win rates of taking every bar
long/short at the REAL stop/target with spread charged. A side is
dropped only when BOTH hold: the drift gap clears 2 combined SEs on the
overlap-deflated effective sample (EffectiveSampleSize - labels overlap
~18x), AND the weaker side sits below cost-adjusted break-even (a side
that still clears costs is kept; drift tilt alone is not a reason to
refuse a profitable side). Fails open to BOTH: unmeasured, tiny
effective n (<30), insignificant gap, or classic-only charts (no label
cache).

One resolution point - WarriorEffectiveDirection() - feeds all three
gates so they cannot drift apart: CheckOpenLong/Short (live entries),
the filtered-view sweep (a blocked side falls into the delete branch,
mirroring live), and the vote HUD's "-> TRADE" verdict. The verdict
re-derives at every label-cache rebuild, prints only on change, and is
computed even when the input is not Intelligent (marked informational).

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 11:10:05 -04:00
AnimateDread
cf9a9395ee fix(hud): the headline word is the DECISION, not the lean
"VOTE BUY 5.9%" against a 25% bar read as an ensemble that is
permanently long, when it is an ensemble that would trade nothing - one
member voting BUY at weight 7 against three flats owned the word all
day (reported 2026-08-19, screenshot). With the per-member lines now
showing each model's individual leaning, the top line says what the bot
would DO: BUY/SELL only at or above Min_Vote_Open, NEUTRAL below it
(including the all-flat read), "--" only when nobody has a decision.
The lean survives as a SIGNED percentage (+ buy side / - sell side).

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 10:24:21 -04:00
AnimateDread
b55880c57d fix(hud): sign-mismatch warning in the display-forward throttle
age is a uint tick delta; the ternary picking DISPLAY_FWD_ERA_MS vs
DISPLAY_FWD_MIN_MS is a runtime int expression the compiler cannot
constant-fold (unlike the bare-literal comparisons elsewhere), so the
comparison warned. The defines now carry the (uint) cast.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 10:07:12 -04:00
AnimateDread
f30e342a1d feat(logs): throttle the settled per-era diagnostics - measured 22MB/9.5h of confirmed-working systems
Measured from the journal (2026-08-19): the era deep-dive line (~2KB) plus
the excursion verdict, tier re-rank, calibration move, barrier hold and
selection-regressed note each printed EVERY era for EVERY member - ~940
eras/member/day - long after the systems they watch were confirmed
working. Yesterday's file was 1.3GB (70% of it the news-filter calendar
spam the sweep fix already removed).

VerboseMode returns as an INPUT (demoted 2026-08-01 for the marketplace;
that track is dead since the 2026-08-16 pivot) and gains a second job:
false throttles each settled per-era print to eras 0-3 plus every
TRAIN_LOG_EVERY_ERAS-th (25 ~= one deep-dive per ~15min per member);
true restores the per-era firehose, flippable live.

Never throttled: anything that marks a CHANGE - new bests, restores +
eta decays, plateau stage transitions, deploy approvals, warnings,
errors, the label-cache/adoption one-shots, and the combined-vote gate
line (the active system's primary telemetry, still every era).

Semantic fixes over blanket gating:
- barrier hold now ARMS silently and prints only when the hold outlasts
  the 2-min report interval - a brief hold every era is the design, the
  long hold is the watchdog case the line exists for;
- the ensemble deploy REFUSAL prints immediately when its reason
  changes (that is a finding), on cadence when unchanged;
- the filtered-view census prints when its RESULT moves (drawn count,
  or strongest vote by >=2pp) and at least every 10th sweep.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 09:36:15 -04:00
AnimateDread
83ae56cc9e feat(hud): per-member neuron lines + a vote label that moves as the nets learn
Both 2026-08-19 reports were the same staleness: every source behind the
label was an ERA artifact (live cache refills at pass-3 completion, the
snapshot copies once per era, dPrevSignal is the frozen purge-band edge
bar) - so the readout stepped at era cadence at best, stayed glued to
one direction, and lagged the era counter.

DisplayInference(): throttled (4s, 1s across an era boundary),
SIDE-EFFECT-FREE forward of the current decision bar (window ending on
bar 1, same question the live path asks) through the LEARNER net.
Batch-norm running stats are bracketed frozen/RESTORED via the new
CNet::GetBatchNormFrozen() + CNeuronBatchNormOCL::StatsFrozen() - restore,
not unfreeze, because a display tick can land between pass-3 chunks whose
whole scan holds them frozen. Writes nothing a trading or training path
reads (dPrevSignal, NMS state, tallies, watermarks all untouched;
RefreshLatestSignal is not reusable here precisely because it writes all
of them). LSTM safe by construction: h/c zeroed per forward.

ProspectiveVote() reads the fresh forward as its FIRST source; the
era-artifact chain becomes the fallback (meta head, warm-up, window
holes).

DisplayHudLine(): the reference library's training label, per ensemble
member - name, output activations (softmax probs or raw scalar), the
decision, its weighted vote (the exact consensus numerator term), era,
recent average error, "(trn)" while not vote-capable. Rendered under the
vote line in RefreshVoteReadout BEFORE the live-vote defer (member lines
are telemetry, not tradable readings), coloured by the member's own
direction in muted tones - the vote line's strict
green-only-when-it-would-trade rule is untouched.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 08:48:34 -04:00
AnimateDread
c85bd9f516 feat(inputs): 5-point vote-threshold steps below 50 - the consensus rungs sit between the old 10s
Under CONSENSUS arithmetic the vote is quantized by agreement: with four
members at pooled tier weights ~29, unanimity reads ~29, 3-of-4 ~22,
2-of-4 ~14.5. The 10-point dropdown straddled every one of those rungs -
20 admitted 3-of-4, 30 admitted nothing - so the thresholds an operator
actually wants (between rungs, e.g. 25 = "unanimity or a top-tier 3-of-4")
did not exist. PERCENTAGE_PRESETS and VOTE_CLOSE_PRESETS both gain
5/15/25/35/45; members are only ever ADDED (explicit values, .set-safe),
never removed - MT5 does not validate saved enum values.

Min_Vote_Open default 40 -> 25: the 40 was priced under union arithmetic
and now sits above the unanimity ceiling (~29), i.e. a fresh attach would
silently never trade - the same fired-on-0-bars defect the 50 -> 40 move
fixed once already.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 08:25:49 -04:00
AnimateDread
1a900a0a35 feat(vote): CONSENSUS arithmetic - agreement is now what the threshold dials
Era-680 report, all three observations one equation: "peak 29, no arrows at
threshold 30" / "at 20, arrows on EVERY bar" / "label at 12 while arrows
everywhere". Under the voters-only divisor, any bar with at least one
directional voter read the weighted mean of the firing tiers' weights - and
once the tiers self-ranked to each model's pooled win rate (~28-31), that
mean was NEAR-CONSTANT regardless of headcount. One member alone: ~29. Four
unanimous: ~29. Min_Vote_Open was a step function around that constant -
above it nothing ever fired, below it everything did - and the label's 12
was a 3v1 split netting through the same divisor. Not three display bugs:
one arithmetic that could not express agreement.

The divisor is now the CAPABLE weight - every filter that could vote,
whether it did or not:
 * live (Direction): VoteCapableWeight() - classic pattern ladders always,
   veto filters never, AI members once past the same readiness test
   LongCondition gates on. A model still training must not dilute an
   ensemble it cannot join: four trainees + one deployed model is a solo
   chart wearing an ensemble label, and the solo vote reads full strength.
 * gate (EnsembleEraVerdict): g_ensVoteWeightSum accumulates for every
   member that EVALUATED the bar, Neutral included.
 * overlay sweep + prospective readout: weight counts whenever the member
   has data; a snapshotted Neutral dilutes.
One arithmetic, four sites, same numbers everywhere.

What the numbers become (four members, w~0.29, tiers~29): unanimous ~29 -
the CEILING, which is the pooled win rate and is what the peak displays;
3-of-4 ~22; 2-of-4 ~14.5; 3v1 ~14.5. Min_Vote_Open 20 now means "roughly
three-quarters of the ensemble's trust agrees, net". It MUST sit below the
ceiling to ever fire - the census/peak states the ceiling.

This is the ensemble the user specified in the original design discussion
("if the perceptron also votes, both together reach the threshold; if
another NN votes the other side, the threshold is not reached") - union
semantics was the pre-ensemble behaviour, kept until measurement showed its
vote magnitude was a constant.

Plus overlay DECLUSTERING, the other half of "arrows on every bar": the
same three NMS rules as the per-member arrows (same-direction runs collapse
to their first bar, cross-direction flicker keeps the stronger side), online
over the sweep's strictly oldest->newest walk. Suppression is a verdict and
deletes a standing arrow; the den==0 no-data skip still never does.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-19 06:58:03 -04:00
AnimateDread
c393497fd6 fix(chart): display now reads era-end SNAPSHOTS - the live cache is wiped mid-era
Full-pipeline analysis after "threshold 30, attained often, nothing drawn,
still glued to buy". The log falsified the premise before any code did:

  21:40:43  swept 4999, 794 voters, drew 491. Strongest 43.0% vs 30.0%
  21:42:07  swept 4999, 0 voters,  drew 0
  21:51:30  swept 4999, 0 voters,  drew 0
  21:56:30  swept 4999, 922 voters, drew 382. Strongest 44.0% vs 30.0%

The arrows WERE drawn - 491 of them, then 382 - and then erased. ONE root
cause, three symptoms: every display path read m_arrowSignalCache, which is
wiped to sentinel at each era start and only complete again when pass 3
finishes. With eras at ~30s and a sweep at ~17s:

 * ARROW FLICKER: a sweep landing mid-era found no voters anywhere, and its
   else-branch deleted the arrow on every voteless bar - erasing the previous
   sweep's entire output. The chart cycled populated -> blank -> populated;
   the user kept catching the blank phase.
 * READOUT GLUE: the newest-cache walk found only sentinel for ~90% of every
   era and fell through to dPrevSignal - the frozen purge-band edge bar that
   reads Buy. 659638e fixed which bar was frozen, not the freezing.
 * VOTER FLAP: 1299 -> 257 -> 1113 across back-to-back sweeps - each saw a
   different fraction of half-rebuilt caches.

THE FIX, structural rather than another patch:

1. Era-end snapshots. RankTiersFromOos() runs at pass-3 completion - the one
   moment the cache is complete - and now copies it (raw signals, newest
   LOOKBACK+16 bars) into member-owned snapshot state, unconditionally,
   BEFORE its early return: an all-Neutral era is a snapshot worth showing,
   not an absence of one. Raw signals rather than votes, so a tier re-rank
   between eras reprices them at read time via LiveVoteContribution for free.
2. The sweep (SnapshotVoteAt) and the prospective readout both read
   snapshots; the readout's fallback chain is live-cache -> snapshot ->
   dPrevSignal, and the snapshot leg is the one that fires most of the time.
3. NO DATA IS NOT A VERDICT: a den==0 bar no longer deletes - only an actual
   sub-threshold vote takes an arrow down. This alone ends the wipe half of
   the flicker even where snapshots are missing (before the first era).
4. Arming moved from an era-counter diff (which fires at era BOUNDARIES,
   i.e. precisely when caches are about to be wiped) to
   g_warriorOverlayArmRequest, set by each RankTiersFromOos - "a member's
   snapshot just got fresher", the only event a redraw can act on. 60s rate
   limit collapses the four members' burst into one sweep. Classic-only
   charts arm once at start.
5. Census now reports the direction split - "922 had a voter (610 buy / 312
   sell)" - so "the vote leans buy" is checkable from the log instead of
   inferred from arrow colours.

Also visible in the log and worth knowing: the threshold flip-flopped
30 -> 40 -> 30 across the evening's re-inits (census lines at 21:42-21:51
ran at 40), so part of the observed blankness was configuration, not code.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-18 22:03:20 -04:00
AnimateDread
659638e072 fix(chart): the prospective vote was four models' opinion of ONE frozen bar
"Still glued to buy." Verified in the pass structure rather than guessed:

dPrevSignal is written ONLY by pass 1 (Training.mqh 1439/1442 - the sole
assignment sites), and pass 1 SKIPS the feedForward for any bar a later pass
will forward anyway (laterPassForwards) - which is the whole OOS window and
the calibration band. Pass 3 forwards the newest bars every era but never
writes dPrevSignal. Net effect: after every era, dPrevSignal holds the
model's opinion of the newest PURGE-BAND EDGE BAR pass 1 happened to forward
- one fixed mid-history bar, re-evaluated era after era. The readout was
therefore showing four models' verdict on the same frozen bar, and that bar
reads Buy. Glued to Buy, with flashes of Sell only while pass 1 was actively
walking (the one window where dPrevSignal moves).

ProspectiveVote() now reads the newest ARROW-CACHE entry first (walking back
from the decision bar, bounded at 16), falling back to dPrevSignal only when
the cache holds nothing. Pass 3 writes the adjusted decision for the newest
(OOS) bars each era, so the cache's first non-sentinel entry is the model's
most recent verdict on near-current data - and it is the same value the
filtered overlay draws from, so the label and the reconstruction stay one
quantity. A cached Neutral stops the walk: that is a real decision (vote 0,
abstain -> shows in the "flat" count), not a missing one. Early in an era
the cache is wiped to sentinel and everything falls through to dPrevSignal
exactly as before, until pass 3 refills the newest rows.

Expect the label to change per era now (as each pass 3 re-scores the newest
bars under that era's weights), with the vote/flat split moving as members
genuinely flip between direction and Neutral on recent data.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-18 21:47:51 -04:00
AnimateDread
4f2d81a52e fix(chart): sweep hammered the news filter; peak was a fossil; neutrals invisible
Careful read of the 21:14 log window (user report: peak stuck at 50, label
sticky, neutrals never shown). Three distinct defects, one commit because
they share the two files.

1. 15,508 "CalendarValueHistory failed" lines in 68 SECONDS - ~230/second.
The overlay sweep replayed Direction() on EVERY non-AI filter, including the
news/session/risk-guard veto filters. The news filter calls
CalendarValueHistory per evaluation and MT5's calendar cannot answer more
than ~30 days back (the known calendar cliff), so every historical bar
logged a failure - real wall-clock burned inside a sweep whose whole point
is to stay cheap. Veto filters keep m_pattern_count at its 0 default (the
same test UpdateSignalsWeights keys on): they cast no weighted vote, and a
prohibition cannot be reconstructed faithfully anyway - it joins order
validation in the cannot-replay family. Skipped.

Compounding it: at era ~200 the four members complete a barrier round every
~20s while a full 5,000-bar sweep takes ~17s of slices - the sweep finished
and instantly re-armed, forever, against arrow caches half-rebuilt mid-era.
That is why the census's "had a voter" flapped 1299 -> 257 -> 1113 across
three back-to-back sweeps. Re-arms now rate-limited to one per 5 minutes.

2. Peak 50 was a FOSSIL. m_votePeak never reset, so it still held a value
attained under the 25/50/75/100 DEFAULT tier weights from the attach window
before the first re-rank - unreachable ever since the weights became
measured (pooled 27-32 in the same log). A ceiling nothing can reach reads
as "the models are underperforming their own history", which is backwards:
the history was priced in different money. The peak now resets at the same
regime boundary as the census (StartFilteredOverlay), and the label shows
max(live peak, census strongest-vote) - the census number is the actual
answer to "can Min_Vote_Open ever be reached", measured over ~5,000 bars
under the CURRENT weights.

3. Neutrals were invisible. The prospective count lumped Neutral-deciding
models in with voters, so "4 model(s)" read identically whether all four
voted or three sat flat. Now "2 vote/2 flat", and an all-neutral bar reads
"VOTE flat ... 0 vote/4 flat" instead of "--" - the models answered, and
the answer was Neutral.

Expected values, from this log's own re-ranks (all four members' fires land
in T3; tier weights 27-32; module weights 0.27-0.32): a unanimous-buy bar
reads ~29-30%, mixed membership 28-34. The reported "stuck at buy 28,
climbed to 30, flashes of sell, now 33.4" is those weights doing exactly
what they should. The stickiness between moves is pass 2/2.5/3 - only pass
1 writes dPrevSignal, so the label holds the last pass-1 bar's decision for
the remainder of each era. Display-only, and honest: it is the model's most
recent output.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-18 21:18:55 -04:00
AnimateDread
b05b4f21d7 fix(chart): the vote readout was repainted once per bar, not once per timer tick
"Still stuck at 0" after a042cb4 - and the .ex5 timestamp confirmed the new
build was running, so this was not a stale binary.

The readout was only ever written inside Direction(), and with
Expert_EveryTick=false the stock CExpert::Refresh() gates Processing() - and
therefore Direction() - to NEW-BAR ticks (verified in the terminal's own
Include\Expert\Expert.mqh: Refresh() returns false unless the tick lands on a
period boundary). On an H4 chart that is one repaint every four hours. The
label was written exactly once at attach - before any model had produced a
decision, so it read 0.0 with 4 models - and then sat frozen while the models
trained underneath it. "Stuck at 0" was the label's refresh RATE, not the
vote's value. The prospective fallback in a042cb4 was correct and running;
it just had no way to reach the screen until the next bar open.

The prospective computation is extracted into RefreshVoteReadout(), called
from OnTimer through CExpertCustom every timer tick. It defers to the trade
path whenever the last real Direction() had live voters (m_lastLiveVoters
latch): a live vote is authoritative for its whole bar, and repainting
prospective numbers over it would overwrite a tradable reading with an
untradable one. Cheap by construction - a handful of filters, plain
arithmetic on already-computed members, no indicator reads - so it belongs on
the 500ms timer without a throttle.

Expect the label to move at timer cadence now, tracking pass-1's walk through
the training window (dPrevSignal holds the last trained bar's output during
an era), dimmed and labelled "training, not tradable yet".

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-18 19:56:06 -04:00
AnimateDread
a042cb4359 feat(chart): show the PROSPECTIVE vote while the models are still training
The readout sat at "VOTE 0.0%, 0 voters" constantly. Correct, and useless.

LongCondition()/ShortCondition() return 0 behind the readiness gate for the
entire training run - a model that is not deployed does not vote - so the LIVE
vote is structurally zero for hours, which is exactly the period the readout
is being watched. Worse, it was the same display whether the models were
silent, undeployed, or the filter list was empty: three different situations,
one number.

When no filter casts a real vote, the readout now shows the PROSPECTIVE one -
what these models are saying right now, through the identical tier/weight
arithmetic, minus the readiness gate. That is the same quantity the historical
overlay reconstructs on cached bars, deliberately, so the live line and the
reconstructed arrows are the same measure and can be read against each other.

It can never be mistaken for a decision: labelled "-> training, not tradable
yet", drawn dimmer than "no trade", and `fires` is forced false regardless of
magnitude, because saying "-> TRADE" about a number that cannot place an order
is the precise overstatement this readout exists to prevent. m_direction is
untouched - display only, no trading path reads it.

Confirms the sweep fix from 155f56e is live and working:
  "Filtered view: swept 4999 bar(s), 767 had a voter, drew 0 arrow(s).
   Strongest vote 36.0% against a 40.0% threshold."
4,999 bars against the previous 0. The remaining emptiness is the models, not
the plumbing - see the reply for why lowering the threshold further is the
wrong response to it.

NOT COMPILED - user compiles in MetaEditor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-18 18:29:27 -04:00