Commit graph Warrior_EA/Expert/AIBase/Inference.mqh
Author SHA1 Message Date
AnimateDread
f2ec1edf84 feat(ai): logit-adjusted loss, replacing oversampling and the post-hoc prior
Menon et al. 2021 (ICLR), "Long-tail learning via logit adjustment": add
tau*log(prior_c) to each class logit inside the training gradient. Softmax
CE on adjusted logits is consistent for BALANCED error - the metric
checkpoint selection already ranks on - so the loss and the deploy decision
finally optimize the same thing.

The engine already computed a true softmax + categorical-CE gradient and
wrote it over the per-neuron sigmoid delta, so this is an offset added to
three logits in the two places that gradient is built (backProp scalar path
and backPropOCL). No backend, kernel or DLL change; the forward pass and
every inference path are untouched, which is the point - the network learns
to absorb the offset, so its raw argmax becomes the balanced-optimal
decision with nothing applied at inference.

Replaces rather than stacks. Minority replay is disabled while this is on,
and the post-hoc inference prior is forced off. Stacking is not a
theoretical worry: simulated on the measured 1118/1119/34298 distribution
in the weak-signal regime, plain CE collapses to Neutral (33.4% balanced,
Buy 0%), replay reaches 48.1%, logit adjustment 50.9% with better balance -
and BOTH together score 45.4% with Neutral recall at 0%, worse than either
alone. Buda et al. 2018 predicts exactly that.

Motivation from the six-chart run: every topology took one direction to
~50% recall and abandoned the other, the direction chosen arbitrarily (the
batch-norm control went Buy 1% / Sell 42%, the inverse of the other five).
One era in 1,301 cleared the per-class recall floor.

Fingerprinted conditionally, so the converged 60.7% models on disk keep
their filenames and stay loadable as the fallback.

Both builds compile 0 errors, 0 warnings.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-29 19:05:14 -04:00
AnimateDread
2de93539d4 refactor: split CExpertSignalAIBase implementation by responsibility
ExpertSignalAIBase.mqh was 8216 lines: the class declaration followed by 87
method bodies covering training, labelling, feature extraction, persistence,
chart drawing, online learning, the GA auto-tuner and inference, all in one
file. Train() alone is 1492 lines; a change to arrow drawing meant scrolling
past the era loop.

Moved the bodies into Expert\AIBase\, included at the bottom of the original
after the class declaration:

  Training.mqh        1607  era loop, plateau ladder, checkpoint select, deploy
  Features.mqh        1093  indicator creation + per-bar input feature vector
  ChartUI.mqh          634  arrows, arrow persistence, status panel, cleanup
  Persistence.mqh      492  .stats/.cfg sidecars, CPU-inference validation, copy
  OnlineLearning.mqh   461  live continual learning, EMA shadow, OOS simulator
  Labels.mqh           309  ZigZag pivot labels, async label-cache prebuild
  AutoTune.mqh         275  genetic tuner (population, crossover, halving)
  Inference.mqh        235  softmax, prior calibration, class priors

  ExpertSignalAIBase.mqh  8216 -> 3131 (declaration + topology build only)

This is a pure relocation - verified mechanically, not by eye: HEAD's file
reconstructed from the eight partials plus the surviving remainder is
byte-identical to HEAD, span for span (scratchpad verify_split.py). No
declaration moved, no signature changed, no code rewritten, so behaviour is
unchanged by construction.

Compiles 0 errors, 0 warnings.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-29 00:42:45 -04:00