Commit graph Warrior_EA/research/test_combined.py
Author SHA1 Message Date
AnimateDread
82cdbb40df research: Wyckoff context REPLICATES on a second, independent trigger
Applies the same five-trace context score from c998d65 to a completely
different entry - the LPS retest instead of the shakeout - as a check that the
dose-response was not specific to one setup.

  shakeout trigger   slope +0.0464 R/trace   t +2.16   8/8 cells positive
  LPS trigger        slope +0.0425 R/trace   t +3.18   7/8 cells positive

Two unrelated triggers, 31,000 non-overlapping trades, same magnitude to within
10%, same sign in 15 of 16 cells. This is the strongest confirmed result in the
whole programme: reading past structure to qualify current structure has real,
measurable predictive content. Villahermosa is describing something that exists.

AND IT IS STILL NOT ENOUGH. The buckets:

    1 agree  -0.287     3 agree  -0.151
    2 agree  -0.206     4 agree  -0.157

Context is a MODIFIER worth ~+0.045 R per agreeing trace. Every trigger it can
modify starts between -0.15 and -0.33, and only five traces exist, so full
confluence still lands short of break-even. Reaching zero would need ~7.

One cell goes positive - EURUSD H1 at 4 agreeing traces, +0.14 on n=133 - and it
is 1 of 40, on the smallest bucket, in the instrument with the lowest costs. That
is the exact shape of the three artifacts already retracted today, so it is
recorded as noise unless a fill-correct simulator says otherwise.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-01 23:57:30 -04:00