DIRECTION IS NOT THERE, and this run is what establishes it. Three symbols:
raw ASYMMETRY clears on all three (p=0.0199 / 0.0050 / 0.0050)
norm ASYMMETRY collapses on all three (p=0.3433 / 0.5075 / 0.2736),
USDCAD landing BELOW its own null
RANGE control strengthens to 3-5x its null everywhere
Divide sigma out and the apparent directional signal vanishes entirely. What
cleared was volatility leaking through an unnormalised difference. Note this
would have passed any replication test: three instruments at p=0.005 is exactly
the evidence one would accept before committing to a rebuild, and the confound
reproduces perfectly. Replication was never going to catch it - only the
normalisation could.
Two defects of mine, both surfaced by the same run.
1. THE GEOMETRY DERIVATION WAS DIVERGING, NOT CONVERGING. It produced a
14.57*ATR stop and a 29.14*ATR target that only 5.7% of bars ever reach.
Excursions were measured over the barrier horizon; the horizon scales with
the target; the target is a quantile of the excursions - so target ->
horizon -> excursions -> target ran away, and "settled" only because the
horizon ladder caps at 384 bars. A saturated runaway, which the iteration
guard could not catch because it watches for OSCILLATION.
Fixed at the root: excursions now accumulate only over m_swingMedianBars -
the UNSCALED median ZigZag leg, a property of the instrument that owes
nothing to the barrier. The barrier walk still runs the full horizon,
because that is how long the trade is held; only the MEASUREMENT used to
size the barrier is confined to a geometry-independent window.
(The Min_Risk_Reward_Ratio warning fired correctly and is what flagged it -
the diagnostic worked while the derivation behind it did not.)
2. THE CONFOUND VERDICT WAS UNREACHABLE. `sizeCleared && !asymCleared` was
tested first and is true whenever size clears - i.e. always - so the branch
that NAMES the volatility confound never printed; all three symbols showed
the generic size-not-direction message instead. Verdict chain rewritten with
the specific case first, and the dangling elses my first patch introduced
removed.
FORCES A FULL RETRAIN (the excursion window changes every derived barrier).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
662 lines
30 KiB
MQL5
662 lines
30 KiB
MQL5
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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//| Lifecycle.mqh |
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//| |
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//| Construction/destruction, the CExpertSignal vote API |
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//| (LongCondition/ShortCondition/ConfidenceTier/pattern weights), |
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//| tick + chart-event dispatch, and the per-config chart lock. |
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//| |
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//| PARTIAL IMPLEMENTATION FILE - not standalone. |
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//| CExpertSignalAIBase method BODIES only. The class declaration |
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//| lives in Expert\ExpertSignalAIBase.mqh, which includes this file |
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//| at the bottom, after the declaration. Do not include it |
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//| anywhere else and do not compile it on its own. |
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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#ifndef WARRIOR_AIBASE_LIFECYCLE_MQH
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#define WARRIOR_AIBASE_LIFECYCLE_MQH
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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//| Constructor |
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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//--- These are only fallback defaults for a fresh object before the EA's OnInit() applies the
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//--- active input values via the public setters in Warrior_EA.mq5. The input-driven values are the
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//--- source of truth for the actual run configuration.
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CExpertSignalAIBase::CExpertSignalAIBase(void) :
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ID("NULL"),
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m_neuronsCount(0),
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m_minTrainYear(1970),
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m_optimizationAlgo(TrainingOptimizer), // see the member declaration comment
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//--- Placeholder only; InitNeuralNetwork() replaces it with ComputeFirstLayerWidth() before anything
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//--- reads it. Deliberately the floor rather than 0, so a hypothetical path that built a topology
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//--- without going through init would produce a small usable net instead of a zero-width layer.
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m_initialNeuronsCount(FIRST_LAYER_MIN_WIDTH),
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m_outputNeuronsCount(OUTPUT_CLASSIFICATION),
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//--- Frozen. Nothing reads these to build a topology any more - the taper derives its own endpoints
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//--- (BuildFreshTopology) - but they still occupy positional slots in the .cfg sidecar and the weights
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//--- fingerprint. Held at their historical defaults so both stay byte-stable; changing either value
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//--- would re-key every model on disk for no behavioural reason whatsoever.
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m_minNeuronsCount(MIN_NEURONS_20),
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m_neuronsReduction(RF_70),
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m_hiddenLayersCount(3),
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m_lstmHiddenSize(32),
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m_convFilterCount(16),
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m_historyBars(14),
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m_fractalPeriods(5),
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m_pattern_0(25),
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m_pattern_1(50),
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m_pattern_2(75),
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m_pattern_3(100),
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m_useVolumes(true),
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m_useTime(true),
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m_useATR(true),
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m_useMA(false),
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m_useRSI(false),
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m_useMACD(false),
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m_useIchimoku(false),
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m_useSwingContext(false),
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m_useNews(false),
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m_useCrossAsset(false),
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m_useSpreadFeature(false),
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m_spreadSeriesBars(0),
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m_spreadSeriesAnchor(0),
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m_crossAssetAnchor(0),
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m_newsFeatureWindowMinutes(60),
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m_useADCumulativeDelta(false),
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m_useADShorteningOfThrust(false),
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m_useADWyckoffEventStream(false),
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m_useADWyckoffFailedStructure(false),
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m_useADWyckoffSignificantBarInversion(false),
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m_autoTuneIndicators(false),
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m_indicatorsPtr(NULL),
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Net(NULL),
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m_shadowNet(NULL),
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TempData(NULL),
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dError(-1),
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dUndefine(0),
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dForecast(0),
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dPrevSignal(0),
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m_refreshOk(0),
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m_refreshFailFeatures(0),
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m_refreshFailShort(0),
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m_refreshBuy(0),
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m_refreshSell(0),
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m_refreshNeutral(0),
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m_voteGateBlocked(0),
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m_voteGatePassed(0),
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m_voteGateCompleteAtFirst(-1),
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m_voteGateLoadedAtFirst(-1),
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m_signalClusterWindow(6),
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m_nmsLiveBuyTime(0),
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m_nmsLiveSellTime(0),
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m_nmsLiveBuyAccept(false),
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m_nmsLiveSellAccept(false),
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m_nmsLiveKeptTime(0),
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m_nmsLiveKeptDir(Neutral),
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m_nmsLiveKeptConf(0),
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dtStudied(0),
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m_eraCount(0),
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m_trainingComplete(false),
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m_inferenceOnly(false),
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m_modelLoadedFromDisk(false),
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m_topologySuperseded(false),
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m_mqlInferenceValidated(false),
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m_shadowBootstrapAttempted(false),
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m_enableOnlineLearning(true),
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m_freezePriorCalibration(false),
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m_onlineLearnedUpToTime(0),
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m_onlineRollingAcc(-1.0),
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m_onlineSamples(0),
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m_onlineBarsSincePersist(0),
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m_onlineBlendFrozen(false),
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bEventStudy(false),
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m_oosSplitPct(30),
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dOosError(-1),
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dOosForecast(0),
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m_oosSamples(0),
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m_cumIsCorrect(0),
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m_cumIsTotal(0),
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m_cumOosCorrect(0),
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m_cumOosTotal(0),
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m_oosOutSpreadSum(0),
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m_oosOutCount(0),
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m_countBuySignals(0),
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m_countSellSignals(0),
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m_countNeutralSignals(0),
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m_trueBuyCount(0),
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m_trueSellCount(0),
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m_trueNeutralCount(0),
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m_logitAdjustTau(1.0),
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m_logitAdjustLogged(false),
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m_logitAdjustSkipWarned(false),
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m_prevEraTrueBuyCount(0),
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m_prevEraTrueSellCount(0),
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m_prevEraTrueNeutralCount(0),
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m_oosBuyHits(0),
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m_oosBuyTotal(0),
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m_oosSellHits(0),
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m_oosSellTotal(0),
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m_oosNeutralHits(0),
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m_oosNeutralTotal(0),
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m_oosBuyPredicted(0),
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m_oosBuyPredictedHits(0),
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m_oosSellPredicted(0),
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m_oosSellPredictedHits(0),
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m_oosNeutralPredicted(0),
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m_oosNeutralPredictedHits(0),
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m_oosConfidenceSum(0),
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m_confidenceCalScale(1.0),
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m_minDirectionalRecallPct(40),
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m_priorBuy(0.0),
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m_priorSell(0.0),
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m_priorNeutral(0.0),
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m_oosBuyFired(0),
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m_oosBuyFiredHits(0),
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m_oosSellFired(0),
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m_oosSellFiredHits(0),
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m_lastBuyFiredPrecPct(-1),
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m_lastSellFiredPrecPct(-1),
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m_lastBuyFired(0),
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m_lastSellFired(0),
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m_maxClassSampleWeight(1.5),
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m_swingConfirmationBars(100),
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m_barrierHorizonBars(BARRIER_HORIZON_FALLBACK),
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m_barrierHorizonResolved(false),
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m_barrierFallbackWarned(false),
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m_lastBarrierTimedOut(false),
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m_labelPrebuildTimeoutCount(0),
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m_maxErasPerRun(300),
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m_arrowRestoreIndex(0),
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m_arrowRestorePending(false),
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m_arrowRestoreStartMs(0),
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m_rescanIndex(0),
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m_rescanHi(0),
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m_rescanBarsNow(0),
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m_rescanPending(false),
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m_rescanStartMs(0),
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m_rescanRawBuy(0),
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m_rescanRawSell(0),
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m_rescanRawNeutral(0),
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m_trainRunActive(false),
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m_eraResumePending(false),
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m_resumeBars(0),
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m_resumeTotalIter(0),
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m_resumeOosCutoff(0),
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m_resumeBarIndex(0),
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m_resumeAddLoop(false),
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m_isTrainQueueCount(0),
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m_isTrainCursor(0),
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m_isPass2Active(false),
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m_isPass2Done(false),
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m_isPass3Active(false),
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m_oosScoreIndex(0),
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m_oosScoreStartIndex(0),
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m_lastStatusLabelUpdateTick(0),
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m_lastBuyRecallPct(-1),
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m_lastSellRecallPct(-1),
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m_lastDisplayNeuron0(0),
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m_lastDisplayNeuron1(0),
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m_lastDisplayNeuron2(0),
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m_lastDisplaySignal(0),
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m_lastBarTime(0),
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m_modelEta(InitialEtaForOptimizer()),
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m_etaCeiling(InitialEtaForOptimizer()),
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m_erasSinceCooldown(0),
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m_bestOosForecast(-1),
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m_bestBalancedOos(-1),
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m_bestPassedRecall(false),
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m_haveOosCheckpoint(false),
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m_oosStable(false),
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m_objectiveMet(false),
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m_erasSinceBestBalanced(0),
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m_plateauStage(0),
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m_syncWaitStartTick(0),
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m_warmupPassesRemaining(0),
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m_labelCacheBars(0),
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m_labelCacheAnchorTime(0),
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m_labelCachePrebuilt(false),
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m_lastExcUp(0.0),
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m_lastExcDown(0.0),
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m_derivedSlMult(0.0),
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m_derivedTpMult(0.0),
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m_geometryDerived(false),
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m_geometryDerivePasses(0),
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m_swingMedianBars(0),
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m_labelPrebuildActive(false),
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m_prebuildSeedPending(false),
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m_labelPrebuildBars(0),
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m_labelPrebuildOosCutoff(0),
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m_labelPrebuildIndex(-1),
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m_labelPrebuildBuyCount(0),
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m_labelPrebuildSellCount(0),
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m_labelPrebuildNeutralCount(0),
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m_simOosNet(NULL),
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m_simOosRunActive(false),
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m_simOosCutoff(0),
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m_simOosBarIndex(-1),
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m_simOosForecast(0),
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m_simOosSamples(0),
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m_tuneTrialIndex(-1),
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m_tuneBestOosForecast(-1),
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m_tuneLastTrialWasWin(true),
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m_tuneHaveBestCheckpoint(false),
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m_tuneStartTrainBar(0),
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m_tuneFilterDone(false),
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m_trainingPaused(false),
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m_trainingStopRequested(false),
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m_activeFileCommon(true),
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m_configLockName(""),
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m_isInitialized(false),
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m_shutdownInProgress(false),
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m_lastArrowsSaved(0),
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m_miBestColumn(0.0),
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m_miLabelEntropy(0.0),
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m_miStrideBars(0),
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m_miNullBlocks(0),
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m_miReportDone(false),
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m_miReportDeferrals(0),
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m_barrierScanSlMult(0.0),
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m_barrierScanTpMult(0.0),
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m_barrierScanLiveLabels(false),
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m_barrierScanTimeouts(0),
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m_barrierHorizonClamped(false)
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{
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//--- indicator tuning defaults live in CADIndicatorTuner's own constructor (Expert\ADIndicatorTuner.mqh),
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//--- which runs automatically for the m_indicatorTuner member above.
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}
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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//| Destructor |
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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CExpertSignalAIBase::~CExpertSignalAIBase(void)
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{
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//--- deliberately NOT calling PersistOnShutdown() here: OnDeinit() (Warrior_EA.mq5) already calls
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//--- it explicitly for every signal, one call stack frame shallower, BEFORE Expert.Deinit() tears
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//--- these objects down. Doing it again here nested inside that same teardown cascade doubled the
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//--- stack depth of an already-deep recursive save (layers -> neurons -> connections) right at the
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//--- point in MT5's lifecycle (EA recompile while attached) that has the least stack headroom, and
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//--- reliably crashed the terminal with a stack overflow. Keep this destructor cheap.
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if(CheckPointer(Net) != POINTER_INVALID)
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delete Net;
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if(CheckPointer(m_shadowNet) != POINTER_INVALID)
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delete m_shadowNet;
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if(CheckPointer(TempData) != POINTER_INVALID)
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delete TempData;
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if(CheckPointer(m_simOosNet) != POINTER_INVALID)
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delete m_simOosNet;
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//--- Unconditional now that the warm-reload "leave the arrows up" branch is gone (see
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//--- ShutdownChartCleanup). Cheap and idempotent: OnDeinit already purged, so this normally deletes
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//--- nothing - it exists for the teardown paths that never reach OnDeinit (a failed OnInit).
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PurgeChart();
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//--- Last, and cheap by design (one global-variable delete): the claim must outlive every save above
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//--- it, or a chart re-attaching during this teardown could start writing the same files mid-save.
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ReleaseConfigLock();
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}
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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//| Sets the file/id identity a subclass constructor would otherwise |
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//| repeat verbatim (ID, m_id, m_folderPath, m_fileName, pattern count)|
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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void CExpertSignalAIBase::SetIdentity(string id, string shortId, int patternCount = 4)
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{
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ID = id;
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m_id = shortId;
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m_folderPath = eaName + "\\" + "Neural Networks" + "\\" + "State" + "\\" + m_id + "\\";
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m_fileName = m_folderPath + _Symbol + "_" + IntegerToString(_Period);
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m_pattern_count = patternCount;
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}
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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//| "Voting" that price will grow. |
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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int CExpertSignalAIBase::LongCondition(void)
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{
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int result = 0;
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//--- Readiness gate: live trading still requires a converged model, but an inference-only tester run
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//--- may replay a model that was ACTUALLY loaded from disk even if its persisted trainingComplete flag
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//--- is false. Without that exception the tester could seed/refresh dPrevSignal from the deployed model
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//--- and draw chart arrows from those weights, yet this gate would still hard-zero the trading vote.
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//--- A fresh random topology still cannot trade in the tester because m_modelLoadedFromDisk stays false.
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//--- Census: this gate is invisible to the refresh-path counters and is a live candidate for the
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//--- all-bars-zero-direction backtest - see m_voteGateBlocked.
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NoteVoteGate(DoubleToSignal(dPrevSignal) == Buy);
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if(!m_trainingComplete && !(m_inferenceOnly && m_modelLoadedFromDisk))
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return 0;
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//--- No alternation gate any more - see the removal note at m_voteGateBlocked's declaration. Under
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//--- triple-barrier labels consecutive same-direction setups are ordinary and correct.
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//--- "not yet studied" sentinel - dPrevSignal == -2 is not a real Sell. Its MAGNITUDE is 2, so it
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//--- passed straight through the confidence floor that used to sit here (|-2| exceeds any 0..1
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//--- threshold); only the m_trainingComplete gate above was keeping it out. Checked explicitly now
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//--- that the floor is gone, rather than left resting on that.
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if(dPrevSignal == -2)
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return 0;
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//--- NO confidence floor here, by design - see m_minSignalConfidence's former declaration site. A
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//--- weak call is not blocked at the AI's own boundary; it votes at its tier weight (as low as
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//--- m_pattern_0) and is then filtered by Min vote to open, exactly like a weak classic vote.
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if(DoubleToSignal(dPrevSignal) == Buy)
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{
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int tier = ConfidenceTier();
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result = PatternWeightForTier(tier);
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m_active_pattern = "Pattern_" + IntegerToString(tier);
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m_active_direction = "Buy";
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}
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return(result);
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}
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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//| "Voting" that price will fall. |
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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int CExpertSignalAIBase::ShortCondition(void)
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{
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int result = 0;
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//--- Readiness gate - see LongCondition's matching comment.
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NoteVoteGate(DoubleToSignal(dPrevSignal) == Sell);
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if(!m_trainingComplete && !(m_inferenceOnly && m_modelLoadedFromDisk))
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return 0;
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//--- "not yet studied" sentinel, and no confidence floor - see LongCondition's matching comments.
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if(dPrevSignal == -2)
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return 0;
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if(DoubleToSignal(dPrevSignal) == Sell)
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{
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int tier = ConfidenceTier();
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result = PatternWeightForTier(tier);
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m_active_pattern = "Pattern_" + IntegerToString(tier);
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m_active_direction = "Sell";
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}
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return result;
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}
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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//| Buckets the live confidence magnitude into one of 4 equal bands |
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//| between the head's own structural floor and 1.0 - see m_pattern_0's|
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//| declaration comment for the resulting tier/weight table. Neither |
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//| head has a configurable floor: the boundary is 1/3 for the 3-class|
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//| softmax and 0.5 for regression (DoubleToSignal's own threshold), |
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//| both arithmetic properties of the head rather than settings. |
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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int CExpertSignalAIBase::ConfidenceTier(void)
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{
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//--- The head's own STRUCTURAL decision boundary - the lowest confidence magnitude that head can
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//--- possibly report for a directional call - not a user setting:
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//--- - 3-class classification: the winning class of a 3-way softmax is arithmetically >= 1/3, since
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//--- three probabilities summing to 1 cannot all be below it. Nothing can ever be read below this.
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//--- - single-neuron regression: 0.5, DoubleToSignal()'s own decision boundary.
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//--- Quartiling from HERE (rather than from an input, as the classification branch used to) is what
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//--- makes the tier boundaries a fixed property of the model instead of something that silently moves
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//--- whenever the trader adjusts an unrelated vote threshold - and it is what lets the same tier
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//--- weights mean the same thing on both heads. See m_pattern_0's declaration comment for the weights.
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double floorConf = (m_outputNeuronsCount == 3) ? (1.0 / 3.0) : 0.5;
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double span = MathMax(1.0 - floorConf, 0.0001);
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double t = (CalibratedConfidenceMagnitude() - floorConf) / span;
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int tier = (int)MathFloor(t * 4.0);
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return MathMax(0, MathMin(tier, 3));
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}
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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//| Returns the given tier's current pattern weight (0-100) |
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//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
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int CExpertSignalAIBase::PatternWeightForTier(int tier)
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{
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switch(tier)
|
|
{
|
|
case 0:
|
|
return m_pattern_0;
|
|
case 1:
|
|
return m_pattern_1;
|
|
case 2:
|
|
return m_pattern_2;
|
|
default:
|
|
return m_pattern_3;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
//| Set the specified pattern's weight to the specified value |
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
void CExpertSignalAIBase::ApplyPatternWeight(int patternNumber, int weight)
|
|
{
|
|
switch(patternNumber)
|
|
{
|
|
case 0:
|
|
Pattern_0(weight);
|
|
break;
|
|
case 1:
|
|
Pattern_1(weight);
|
|
break;
|
|
case 2:
|
|
Pattern_2(weight);
|
|
break;
|
|
case 3:
|
|
Pattern_3(weight);
|
|
break;
|
|
default:
|
|
break;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
//| OnTick function |
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
void CExpertSignalAIBase::OnTickHandler(void)
|
|
{
|
|
ScheduleTrainingIfNeeded();
|
|
}
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
//| Schedules the next training pass (if one is due) and refreshes |
|
|
//| the per-tick status label. Factored out of OnTickHandler() so |
|
|
//| Warrior_EA.mq5's always-on timer (see PollTraining()) can drive |
|
|
//| this on a fixed wall-clock schedule too - training must not stall |
|
|
//| just because the market is closed and no ticks are arriving. |
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
void CExpertSignalAIBase::ScheduleTrainingIfNeeded(void)
|
|
{
|
|
//--- stopped: no new training passes get scheduled at all (StartTraining() re-arms this).
|
|
//--- paused: still schedule so bEventStudy/dtStudied bookkeeping stays current, but Train() itself
|
|
//--- blocks at the next era boundary until resumed - keeps in-memory state coherent either way.
|
|
//--- complete: training already converged - a plain new bar must NOT re-enter Train()'s full era
|
|
//--- loop, which would otherwise reset the best-checkpoint/eta-decay tracking and run real
|
|
//--- Net.backProp() passes again, forever, once per bar, on an already-converged model (see
|
|
//--- RefreshConvergedSignal()'s declaration comment). Just keep the live signal current instead.
|
|
//--- publish this signal's current signed confidence for the intelligent trailing (and any other
|
|
//--- live-confidence consumer) - see g_LiveAISignedConfidence in Variables\ConfidenceBridge.mqh.
|
|
//--- Cheap: SignedAIConfidence() just reads the already-computed dPrevSignal.
|
|
g_LiveAISignedConfidence = SignedAIConfidence();
|
|
datetime lastBarDate = (datetime)SeriesInfoInteger(m_symbol.Name(), m_period, SERIES_LASTBAR_DATE);
|
|
// A failed lookup (0) must not silently read as "dtStudied is already caught up, nothing pending" -
|
|
// that would freeze this function into never re-triggering training/signal refresh again until some
|
|
// other path happens to bump dtStudied. Treat a failed lookup as pending instead (same >0-guard
|
|
// philosophy as the SERIES_FIRSTDATE lookup elsewhere in this class) so a transient history-sync
|
|
// hiccup costs one extra harmless check, not a silent stall.
|
|
bool newBarPending = (dPrevSignal == -2 || lastBarDate <= 0 || ((m_inferenceOnly ? m_lastBarTime : dtStudied) < lastBarDate));
|
|
//--- m_inferenceOnly (single backtest) takes the converged/inference branch even if the seeded model
|
|
//--- wasn't flagged complete, so a backtest never drops into Train()'s era loop - see m_inferenceOnly.
|
|
if((m_trainingComplete || m_inferenceOnly) && !m_trainingStopRequested && !m_trainRunActive)
|
|
{
|
|
if(newBarPending)
|
|
RefreshConvergedSignal();
|
|
}
|
|
else
|
|
if(!m_trainingStopRequested && !bEventStudy && newBarPending)
|
|
bEventStudy = EventChartCustom(ChartID(), 1, (long)MathMax(0, MathMin(iTime(m_symbol.Name(), PERIOD_CURRENT, (int)(100 * Net.recentAverageSmoothingFactor * (m_trainingComplete ? 1 : 10))), dtStudied)), 0, "New Bar");
|
|
//--- Train() (see its declaration comment) now yields every ~TRAIN_TIME_BUDGET_MS instead of
|
|
//--- blocking for a whole era, so while a run is active this per-tick line would otherwise
|
|
//--- overwrite Train()'s own full-detail status label on every single tick between chunks -
|
|
//--- flickering between the two instead of showing one steady picture. Only write this terse
|
|
//--- summary when nothing else is actively updating the status label (idle/stopped/paused/cooldown).
|
|
if(!m_trainRunActive)
|
|
{
|
|
//--- Compact, accurate end-state text. The completed state distinguishes a model that is genuinely
|
|
//--- adapting live (online learning active - a live chart with EnableOnlineLearning, not the tester)
|
|
//--- from one running pure inference (the Strategy Tester, or online learning off), so the label is
|
|
//--- literally true either way and never over-promises "keeps learning" when it doesn't - see
|
|
//--- OnlineLearnStep()'s gate for exactly when adaptation runs.
|
|
bool onlineActive = m_enableOnlineLearning && !m_inferenceOnly
|
|
&& !MQLInfoInteger(MQL_TESTER) && !MQLInfoInteger(MQL_OPTIMIZATION) && !MQLInfoInteger(MQL_FORWARD)
|
|
&& CheckPointer(Net) != POINTER_INVALID && !Net.CpuInference();
|
|
//--- Simple end-state panel (default, VerboseMode off): plain-language status + the model's
|
|
//--- compounded/persistent Buy/Sell win-rate (directional accuracy, Neutral excluded - persisted in
|
|
//--- .stats WST5, so it survives a fresh chart reload and is meaningful the moment a drop-and-go user
|
|
//--- attaches the EA) + the current call. The verbose era/forecast dump below stays for power users.
|
|
if(!VerboseMode)
|
|
{
|
|
string statusPlain;
|
|
if(m_trainingComplete)
|
|
statusPlain = onlineActive ? "Live - learning from new bars" : "Ready for live trading";
|
|
else if(m_trainingStopRequested)
|
|
statusPlain = "Paused - progress saved";
|
|
else if(m_trainingPaused)
|
|
statusPlain = "Paused";
|
|
else
|
|
statusPlain = "Getting ready...";
|
|
ENUM_SIGNAL liveSig = DoubleToSignal(dPrevSignal);
|
|
string liveSigPlain = (liveSig == Buy) ? "Buy" : (liveSig == Sell) ? "Sell" : "Neutral (no trade)";
|
|
string simpleLive = DisplayName() + " - " + statusPlain + "\n";
|
|
//--- Only show the accuracy line once at least one signal has been validated (compounded counts
|
|
//--- persist across restarts, so a deployed model shows real numbers immediately, not "measuring").
|
|
if(m_cumIsTotal > 0 || m_cumOosTotal > 0)
|
|
simpleLive += ComputeCompoundedAccuracyLine() + "\n";
|
|
simpleLive += "Current signal: " + liveSigPlain;
|
|
SetStatusLabel(simpleLive);
|
|
return;
|
|
}
|
|
string completeText = onlineActive ? "Complete - live (adapting to new bars)" : "Complete - ready for live (inference)";
|
|
string trainingState = m_trainingStopRequested
|
|
? (m_trainingComplete ? completeText : "Stopped - resumable (weights kept)")
|
|
: (m_trainingPaused ? "Paused" : (m_trainingComplete ? completeText : "In progress"));
|
|
//--- same "Forecast: <signal> -> <value>" line the active training loop's status label ends on
|
|
//--- (see the classLine-terminated StringFormat below), instead of a raw bEventStudy/dPrevSignal/
|
|
//--- dtStudied debug dump - this is what stays on screen once training stops/pauses/completes.
|
|
SetStatusLabel(StringFormat(
|
|
ID + " : Era %d -> Training %s\n" +
|
|
"Forecast: %s -> %.2f",
|
|
m_eraCount, trainingState,
|
|
EnumToString(DoubleToSignal(dPrevSignal)), dPrevSignal));
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
//| Timer-driven equivalent of OnTickHandler()'s scheduling, called |
|
|
//| from Warrior_EA.mq5's always-on OnTimer() so training keeps |
|
|
//| progressing purely on wall-clock time - no dependency on ticks, |
|
|
//| which simply don't arrive while the market is closed. |
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
void CExpertSignalAIBase::PollTraining(void)
|
|
{
|
|
//--- Drain a slice of the queued chart-arrow restore FIRST, and skip training work on any tick where
|
|
//--- restoring is still in flight. Both compete for the one MQL5 thread; letting the arrows finish
|
|
//--- quickly (a few hundred ms of slices) means the user sees a complete chart almost immediately,
|
|
//--- whereas interleaving them with 80ms training chunks would stretch the restore over minutes.
|
|
if(m_arrowRestorePending)
|
|
{
|
|
AdvanceChartSignalRestore();
|
|
return;
|
|
}
|
|
//--- Same one-thread reasoning as the arrow restore above: a manual rescan (Show Signals) also competes
|
|
//--- for the single MQL5 thread, and its per-bar feedForward is real compute rather than a cheap object
|
|
//--- write, so it must finish its own slices before training resumes rather than interleaving with it.
|
|
if(m_rescanPending)
|
|
{
|
|
AdvanceChartSignalRescan();
|
|
return;
|
|
}
|
|
if(m_isInitialized)
|
|
ScheduleTrainingIfNeeded();
|
|
}
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
//| |
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
void CExpertSignalAIBase::OnChartEventHandler(const int id,
|
|
const long &lparam,
|
|
const double &dparam,
|
|
const string &sparam)
|
|
{
|
|
if(id == 1001)
|
|
{
|
|
TuneIndicatorsAndTrain(lparam);
|
|
bEventStudy = false;
|
|
OnTickHandler();
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
//| Claim m_activeFileName for this chart, terminal-wide. |
|
|
//| |
|
|
//| Two charts running the same AIType with the same retrain-affecting|
|
|
//| inputs resolve to the SAME .nnw/.cfg/.stats/checkpoint set. Both |
|
|
//| then train independently and save over each other, so whichever |
|
|
//| writes last wins and the other's eras are discarded - silently, |
|
|
//| because every individual file operation succeeds. A five-chart |
|
|
//| comparison run on 2026-07-29 lost both its HYBRID models this way |
|
|
//| (one chart left at the AIType default), and the only evidence |
|
|
//| anywhere was that model path appearing twice as often in the log. |
|
|
//| |
|
|
//| A terminal-wide global variable is the right lock rather than a |
|
|
//| lock FILE: GlobalVariableTemp() is an atomic create-if-absent, |
|
|
//| and a TEMPORARY variable dies with the terminal, so a crash can |
|
|
//| never leave a stale lock that blocks the next start. Within one |
|
|
//| session a stale entry is still possible (an EA removed without a |
|
|
//| clean deinit), so the owner's chart id is stored and revalidated. |
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
bool CExpertSignalAIBase::AcquireConfigLock(void)
|
|
{
|
|
//--- FNV-1a over the resolved filename: every retrain-affecting input is already folded into that
|
|
//--- name, so equal names mean genuinely equal configs and nothing else has to be compared. Hashed
|
|
//--- because MQL5 caps global-variable names at 63 characters and the path alone exceeds that.
|
|
uint h = 2166136261;
|
|
int len = StringLen(m_activeFileName);
|
|
for(int i = 0; i < len; i++)
|
|
{
|
|
h ^= (uint)StringGetCharacter(m_activeFileName, i);
|
|
h *= 16777619;
|
|
}
|
|
string name = "WarriorAI_" + m_id + "_" + StringFormat("%08x", h);
|
|
long self = ChartID();
|
|
//--- Atomic: true means it did not exist and is now ours.
|
|
if(GlobalVariableTemp(name))
|
|
{
|
|
GlobalVariableSet(name, (double)self);
|
|
m_configLockName = name;
|
|
return true;
|
|
}
|
|
long owner = (long)GlobalVariableGet(name);
|
|
//--- Our own entry: this chart is re-initializing after a parameter change or a recompile whose
|
|
//--- OnDeinit never reached ReleaseConfigLock(). Reclaim it instead of refusing to start.
|
|
if(owner == self)
|
|
{
|
|
m_configLockName = name;
|
|
return true;
|
|
}
|
|
//--- Owner recorded but its chart no longer runs an expert - take the claim over. owner == 0 is
|
|
//--- deliberately NOT treated as stale: it means another instance created the variable microseconds
|
|
//--- ago and has not stamped its id yet, which is a live claim, not a dead one.
|
|
bool ownerAlive = false;
|
|
if(owner != 0)
|
|
{
|
|
long id = ChartFirst();
|
|
while(id >= 0)
|
|
{
|
|
if(id == owner)
|
|
{
|
|
ownerAlive = (StringLen(ChartGetString(id, CHART_EXPERT_NAME)) > 0);
|
|
break;
|
|
}
|
|
id = ChartNext(id);
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
if(owner != 0 && !ownerAlive)
|
|
{
|
|
GlobalVariableSet(name, (double)self);
|
|
m_configLockName = name;
|
|
return true;
|
|
}
|
|
Print(ID + ": REFUSED to start - another chart is already training this exact configuration. Both" +
|
|
" would save into the same files (" + m_activeFileName + ".nnw plus its .cfg/.stats/checkpoints)" +
|
|
" and overwrite each other's progress with no error reported anywhere. Owner: " +
|
|
(owner != 0 ? "chart " + IntegerToString(owner) + " (" + ChartSymbol(owner) + " " +
|
|
EnumToString((ENUM_TIMEFRAMES)ChartPeriod(owner)) + ")" : "another chart, still initializing") +
|
|
". Change AIType or any retrain-affecting input on THIS chart so it trains its own model, or" +
|
|
" remove one of the two charts. Note AIType defaults to " + EnumToString(AI_HYBRID) +
|
|
" - a chart whose AIType was never actually changed lands here.");
|
|
return false;
|
|
}
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
//| Drop this instance's claim (see AcquireConfigLock). |
|
|
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
|
void CExpertSignalAIBase::ReleaseConfigLock(void)
|
|
{
|
|
if(StringLen(m_configLockName) == 0)
|
|
return;
|
|
//--- Only delete a claim we still hold: if a later instance took this entry over via the stale-owner
|
|
//--- path above, deleting it here would silently hand the config to a third chart.
|
|
if((long)GlobalVariableGet(m_configLockName) == ChartID())
|
|
GlobalVariableDel(m_configLockName);
|
|
m_configLockName = "";
|
|
}
|
|
#endif
|