forked from animatedread/Warrior_EA
143 lines
31 KiB
Markdown
143 lines
31 KiB
Markdown
# Wyckoff 2.0 (Villahermosa) - pages 209-276 digest (French edition; terms as in book)
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Covers: end of Order Flow continuation model (6.4), fractality (6.5), PART 7 Wyckoff 2.0 operating scheme (context, zones/levels, scenarios, trade management), PART 8 case studies. Pp265-276 = acknowledgements, author bio, book ads, bibliography (no trading content).
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## 1. CONCEPTS
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- **Reversal model (modele de retournement)** (order flow, p209): two-candle version = large bearish candle with absorption (Delta -312) then bullish initiative candle with ASK imbalances, relatively high volume, Delta +607 = clear rotation to buyers. (Absorption + initiative.)
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- **Continuation model (modele de continuation / continuite)** (p210): confirms directionality from prior turn; finds entry points during a trend move. Two actions: creation of the CONTROL (controle) and its TEST (test au controle).
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- **Control (controle)** (p210-211): clearest sign of interest for a direction; seen on footprint as imbalances. Same as initiative except it occurs AFTER the move has started. One imbalance can suffice; >=2 preferable (more imbalances = stronger zone); depends on software threshold, so definition is not fully objective. Not only imbalances: candle range, close level, traded volume must also fit.
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- Bullish control: imbalances in ASK column on a candle with good volume that closes in the UPPER THIRD of its total range; stronger the lower in the candle range the imbalances sit.
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- Bearish control: imbalances in BID column on a bearish candle with high volume closing in the LOWER THIRD; stronger the higher in the range the imbalances sit.
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- Strongest form: dynamic strong enough to create three consecutive imbalances at different price levels (not isolated); if seen after a reversal pattern, gives more confidence of being with majority of pro money.
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- **Test of the control** (p211-212): move that retests a prior zone where aggressive traders (controls) potentially entered; those traders are assumed to defend their position. Look for a new reversal pattern on the zone (zone = price levels identified in the control). Absorption may be unremarkable (main effort already done); a NEW DEMONSTRATION OF INITIATIVE (aggressive re-entry) is the definitive signal. The test can be: immediate wick on the next developing candle (lack of interest, full candle reversal), a small extension through the zone that reverses leaving rejection, or barely touching ("left practically ticked"). Lack of interest should show as relatively LOW volume.
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- **Control in profile terms**: the control level often coincides with the candle's VPOC (p212); a bearish control candle's BID imbalance level coincides with other strongly traded levels = high volume node (p213). Initial imbalance of the reversal pattern's initiative is the first area to project forward for the test (p213).
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- **Fractality (fractalite)** (p214-215): the same behaviour at every scale. Absorption+initiative on footprint = tiny version of accumulation/distribution (absorption) + trend move (initiative). In profile terms: P and b profiles (bell = absorption inside, initiative = breakout of value area). Larger: multi-day/week structures (accumulation/distribution range = absorption; trend = initiative). Only difference is time taken. Example: left chart 3-candle setup, centre one session, right several days.
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- Continuation fractality: control = part of an impulsive move; test of control = part of a corrective move (impulses and pullbacks).
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- Higher scale: VPOC of a profile launched on the whole impulse = control zone of the entire move; look above it (in an uptrend) for end of pullback. Longest scale: HVNs act as controls (accumulation/distribution structures on other timeframes). If the whole move were one candle, its most traded level would be that VPOC.
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- **Wyckoff 2.0** (p216): combine Wyckoff methodology + auction-theory principles + Volume Profile + Order Flow to build robust scenarios.
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- Wyckoff contributes: real underlying logic (3 laws, accumulation/distribution; supply and demand is the engine; cause and effect: an uptrend needs an accumulative cause, a downtrend a distributive one), context, analytic tools to judge who controls (effort vs result, behaviour of moves; not doing a move is also a clue) (p216-217).
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- Auction theory: accumulation/distribution ranges = equilibrium zones (efficient market); trends = imbalance/inefficiency. Market tends to revisit old high-activity zones -> useful for profit targets (p217-218).
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- Volume Profile: objective identification of trading zones/levels; helps identify structures when they develop erratically; market bias via zones; trend health via evolution of value areas; trade management (entry, SL, TP) (p218).
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- Order Flow: restricted to key operating zones only; used with context and directional bias, never in isolation (coin-flip otherwise). Key behaviours at the trigger: absorption and initiative (reversal); if missed, controls + test (continuation) (p219).
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- **Operating scheme (4 steps)** (p220-221): 1 Context (WHAT - buy/sell): range (extremes / inside) or trend (interacting with value area / away from value area). 2 Zones and levels (WHERE): Wyckoff structure operating zones; trading zones HVN & LVN; operating levels VAH, VAL, VPOC, WAP. 3 Scenario planning (HOW - movement): continuous validation protocol + alternative scenario. 4 Position management: entry, stop loss, take profit.
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- **Operating context**: only two states: equilibrium (range) or imbalance (trend) (p225).
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- **Continuous validation protocol (protocole de validation continue)** (p239): "if X then maybe Y" reactive plan.
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- **SOSbar / SOWbar** (p241): Sign of Strength bar = bullish wide-range candle closing in upper third with relatively high volume. Sign of Weakness bar = bearish wide-range candle closing in lower third with relatively high volume.
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- **DVPOC (Developing Volume Point of Control)** (p248): price levels that were at some moment the VPOC of a session, whether or not final. Only UNTESTED ones count as targets.
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- **Naked VPOC** (p248): final VPOCs of previous sessions not yet retested; statistically retested on following days with high probability.
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- **80% rule (adapted from Market Profile)** (p227, p259): if price attempts to leave a value area and fails, then once back inside it has 80% probability of reaching the opposite extreme of the value area.
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- **Failed reversion (reversion echouee)** (p263): a mean-reversion trade at a value-area edge that fails because price accepts beyond it; treated as a trend/continuation trade.
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## 2. RULES
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Order flow continuation (p210-213)
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- R1 Bullish control = ASK imbalance(s) + good volume + close in top 1/3 of range; bearish control = BID imbalance(s) + high volume + close in bottom 1/3 (p210-211). Prefer >=2 imbalances, best 3 consecutive; but a single imbalance on a large-range candle, close near the extreme and relatively high volume is acceptable (p213).
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- R2 If the reversal-pattern entry was missed, enter on control + test provided there is still considerable distance to the target (p211).
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- R3 Test: project the control level (e.g. imbalance level coincident with candle VPOC) to the right as an operating zone; enter on a new reversal pattern / initiative in that zone, with test volume lower (rejection) and the following candle high-volume with a new imbalance in the trade direction (p212). Final entry signal = new demonstration of initiative.
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- R4 To refine entry on a 15-min chart, drop to 5-min to look for the reversal pattern (absorption of buying + initiative of sellers for shorts); or wait for the close of the candle testing the control and check whether initiative/trigger occurred (p213).
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Context (p222-231)
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- R5 First decide context: range or trend (p222). Range = building the cause of the next trend; if it spans several sessions/weeks, draw a volume profile for the whole range (p224).
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- R6 In trend, trade only in its direction, wait for pullbacks (p225).
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- R7 Range, AT EXTREMES: expect reversals at the edges - buy low/sell high (p224, 226). Wyckoff: enter the Phase C shakeout - Upthrust at top, Spring at bottom; true development suggests a visit to the opposite extreme. Volume Profile: bearish reversal at VAH, bullish reversal at VAL; rejection suggests visit to opposite end of value area (p226).
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- R8 Range, INSIDE (wide range, enough space): if the Phase C test event has developed, enter the Phase D trend move within the range; only filter is enough trajectory for good risk/reward (p224, 226-227). Particularly recommended after a previous shock for directional context. Favour as many operating levels as possible; if price reaches and holds beyond a level, controls are acting; being on the right side of an HVN already gives bias (p227).
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- R9 Last HVN generated determines short-term directional bias: while price stays above it consider only bullish scenarios (HVN above = accumulation below = protection to buy); below it only bearish (HVN = distribution) (p227).
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- R10 Inside-range trades need active management at the range extremes since neither side has full control until the final imbalance (p227). If price just made a shakeout, use reversal trade with the adapted 80% rule (p227).
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- R11 Trend, INTERACTING WITH VALUE ZONE (p229-230): first assess it is not a failed breakout (shakeout returning to value). Wyckoff: impulsive move deliberately breaking the structure -> enter test of breakout in Phase D. Volume Profile: price leaves a value zone, wait for entry on retest of the same zone (continuation trade). Evidence for true breakout:
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1. Shakeout: key action (liquidity search); deeper = stronger; prefer waiting for the TOTAL shakeout rather than local ones.
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2. Price action and volume after shakeout and in breakout: good-displacement high-volume candles = control by one side. High volume and some wicking at breakout is normal (liquidity zone; absorption has that characteristic) - do not take it as a shakeout; what matters is what follows.
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3. Reaction after breakout - no re-entry into the range: price must be accepted at new levels, first shown as sideways market outside range; reinforcing: VPOC migration to the new zone or new zone created (maybe in a later session) - but still needs confirmation of the action (see VPOC migration section); definitive trace = no return into value area. Time spent after breakout must NOT be excessive: enough to produce a new VPOC or its migration, then trend should start with some speed (momentum of the first imbalance).
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- Once price stays outside value area: imbalance occurred, not rejected -> look for entry in that direction. Bullish breakout: volume below + prior equilibrium zone = potential accumulation. Bearish: if price holds the zone and does not return to the previous equilibrium, process = distribution; look for the short trigger.
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- R12 Trend, AWAY FROM VALUE ZONE (p231): wait for a corrective wave (markets move in waves) to test one of the identified operating levels, then continue. Wyckoff = Phase E entries (new SOS/SOW bars, minor structures, ordinary shakeout/upthrust) but gives no location; volume levels provide where. Ideal: minor structure developing above an operating level such as the weekly VWAP. Keep trading with the last accumulation/distribution until the market develops a structure in the opposite direction or loses the last identified value zone. Last relevant HVN: below price in an uptrend, just above price in a downtrend; a counter-trend scenario is considered only when that zone is broken.
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Zones and levels (p232-236)
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- R13 Same logic for all contexts/profiles/timeframes: identify zones/levels, wait for trigger to confirm imbalance, then enter (p232). Profile choice is trader-specific: intraday = previous session profile as base + current session as support; longer term = previous week profile or composite of weeks/months, plus weekly/monthly WAP; structure traders = fixed (anchored) profiles on the structures. Completed profiles are more relevant than developing ones (final market consensus). No rule for composite span (last/current week, last/current month, current year); must cover enough price action above and below current price to identify HVN and LVN (p232-233).
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- R14 Entry search only on pre-identified zones: Wyckoff structure operating zones; trading zones HVN/LVN; levels VAH/VAL/VPOC/WAP (p233).
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- R15 AT RANGE EXTREMES: classic Wyckoff trading in the potential shakeout zone of structure highs/lows; shakeout itself = more aggressive entry, shakeout TEST = more conservative entry. Also VAH/VAL reversals (sometimes coincide with structure extremes) (p233).
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- R16 INSIDE RANGE (must be with an HVN and have enough distance to run): wait for price to break through (p234): LVN (best identified with a profile of the whole range; LVNs are excellent zones for opportunities by nature); VWAP and VPOC (current session for intraday; multi-session for structure traders) - the levels that determine market control. Wait for real breakout above them and look for the first entry testing them (above the nearest level; confluence of both strengthens). If price leaves no test and momentum carries it, a more aggressive entry is after the intentional move that breaks those levels.
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- R17 TREND INTERACTING WITH VALUE ZONE: after imbalance starts and continuation assessed, wait for retracement to: (a) broken structure level - test after breakout; wait in the broken Creek/ICE zone (by nature an LVN), keeping nearby operating levels in view (esp. value area extreme); (b) value area extremes (intraday/non-structure traders: continuation trading after leaving, e.g., current session's value, test of its extremes); (c) VPOC of the range - last operating level above which a pullback is expected after breakout. If the VPOC is far from the broken extreme, QUARANTINE the scenario (price will have re-entered value with some depth) and instead activate the failed-reversal type of trade that recovers the value area extreme (p235).
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- R18 TREND AWAY FROM VALUE ZONE: HVN already in favour; expect a pullback at some operating level; if the first level is too close, take the next so the pullback has proportionality with the prior impulse. Candidate levels: previous session profile levels (VA extremes, WAP, VPOC) and current session as the day goes; weekly VWAP (especially to find end of retracement); VPOC of previous impulse (fixed profile on last impulse); LVNs (composite, previous-momentum profile, previous-session profiles). Prefer the most operational levels; CONFLUENCES (esp. VPOC + WAP) strongly recommended for entries above them (p236).
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Scenario planning (p237-239)
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- R19 ONE-MOVEMENT scenario: price already positioned in favour; need only a simple price action to bring it into the trading zone. To buy, identify operating levels below which price is likely to go; to sell, nearest operating levels above to find the short trigger (p237). Example: range, potential Spring: wait for a single movement to develop the test and look for the buy trigger (p237-238).
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- R20 TWO-MOVEMENT scenario: price is on the wrong side of the zone: first move to position price beyond the zone (above it for a buy), second move = test; then look for the trigger. Symmetric for sells (p238). Example: range with potential Spring, probable accumulative range: wait for bullish breakout (1) then next test (2), because price would otherwise face the key zone; also consider that at (1) an Upthrust and return to range could occur, but directional bias stays up once the downside shakeout and breakout meet characteristics (p238).
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- R21 Always hold a continuous validation protocol: e.g. "If price breaks the Creek, I wait for a test to buy; if the breakout fails, I wait for a test in the opposite direction to sell." Always keep an ALTERNATIVE scenario in the opposite direction to switch bias quickly. Example: at a structure top with bullish bias to buy the breakout test, price re-enters the range, strongly refuses to rise and leaves an Upthrust -> read it in real time and switch to short (p239).
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Entry (p241-244)
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- R22 Entry trigger = always an action showing intentionality of the big trader in our direction: price action = SOSbar/SOWbar (definitions above); order flow = reversal model (absorption + initiative) / continuation model (controls + tests). Reversal pattern confirms that the SOS/SOW bar is leading; if the initial trigger is missed, re-enter via the continuation model (p241).
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- R23 Use STOP orders for entry: buy stop above current price, sell stop below (p242). Buy Stop at breakout above the trigger candle's high; Sell Stop below its low. Rationale: filters out candles that looked intentional but then reversed because of internal absorption; if the move is a real imbalance, momentum continues and the stop fills in favour of momentum. Not a complete protection, but filters many cases. Alternatives accepted by the author: market order after the trigger candle closes; entering on seen aggression before candle close; limit order on a pullback - "any option can be valid", trader must evaluate.
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- R24 Do NOT use LIMIT orders to enter: you bet that the expected move occurs, in an environment of total uncertainty (p242-243). Example: potential Spring, a Buy Limit awaiting the Spring test bets on TWO movements (down for the test, then up toward the range top); only one movement may be considered at a time. Instead propose the downward test movement; when price reaches the zone where it "should" turn, analyse price action and volume for the imbalance causing the bullish reversal, then propose the next up movement toward the Creek. At a potential Spring test, aggressive buyers pushing price up are the confirming trace (p243-244).
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- R25 Being right on context does not guarantee profit; new information constantly changes valuation (p244).
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Stop loss (p245-246)
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- R26 Pure Wyckoff: stop on the other side of the significant candles (SOS/SOW bar) and structures (big traders defend positions). Also place stop beyond as many trading levels and zones as possible. First zone sought: LVN (rejection zone - a V-reversal there protects position). Assume the LVN rejection is V-type; if price crosses it quickly the stop is hit (accepted). Other levels (HVN, VWAP, VPOC, VAL...) protect because large volume trades there and they can trigger reversals; stop beyond them because at entry price is moving away from equilibrium levels; if the imbalance is not real, market participants returning to those levels can still rescue the position (p245).
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- R27 Long example (Spring + SOSbar): Buy Stop above the candle; SL either below the trigger candle (no.1) or below the entire structure (no.2); protected by trigger candle imbalances, any VWAP generated, and the structure's profile Value Area Low (= LVN) (p246).
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- R28 Short example (SOWbar): Sell Stop below its low; SL just above its high (no.1), above the highest high generated in the reversal (no.2), or beyond the profile VPOC (no.3); protected by the candle, a VWAP, profile VAL which is also LVN and coincides with the structure's ICE (support). The VPOC stop may be further away - ask whether risk/reward stays acceptable; sometimes all levels converge in a tight range (more confidence), sometimes separated - evaluate the best location and "whether the game is worth the candle" (p246).
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Take profit (p247-249)
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- R29 Classic targets (from author's first book): (1) climactic bar evidence (esp. no reference at the left of chart); (2) after Phase A stopping the previous trend move; (3) liquidity zones at relevant swing highs/lows. NEW with Volume Profile: (4) zones of heavy previous trading - HVNs in the direction of the trade (magnetic). After an imbalance market seeks traders with the opposing bias; more RECENT trading zones are more attractive than older ones (p247).
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- R30 The HVN is a zone; place the TP at the VPOC of that particular value zone (HVN identifies the zone, VPOC the exact target) (p248).
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- R31 Intraday: use DVPOC (untested only) and naked VPOCs as targets; use both (both pre-existing high-trading zones). Example: P-shaped profile; bearish move targets an old DVPOC below (1), V-reversal tests another DVPOC of the current session above (2); already-tested DVPOCs (case 3) are invalid targets (p248-249).
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- R32 Protect the position at first management zone (e.g. test of VAH): either close all or leave some contracts but at least move SL to entry (breakeven) (p259). On failed reversion at a value edge: close the short before stop even if at breakeven; or, if longer-term context favours, flip to long (p263).
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Price leaves without us (p250)
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- R33 Do not chase momentum entering desperately; if the base idea is unchanged keep seeking entry in new trading zones; treat a correct analysis as a positive; capital preservation - at least you were not on the wrong side.
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Case-study rules (p254-264)
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- R34 Use a COMPLETE profile (e.g. previous week) as operating profile (p254).
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- R35 Checklist (p255): 1 what (buy/sell), 2 where (level/zone), 3 scenario (one vs two movements), 4 trigger (order flow). Example: buy stop at breakout of the bullish candle, SL at the low of the bearish candle; TP at an untested naked VPOC or previous high (liquidity).
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- R36 Prefer INITIATIVE over absorption when in a zone with context support: absorption is not always visible in pure form; initiative is indispensable (for order-flow traders) as it shows speculators acting to unbalance control (p261-262).
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- R37 Lower leverage when confluence conflicts: if entry trigger is below weekly WAP for a buy, trade lower leverage (e.g. CFD) rather than futures (p264). Same asset can be traded in futures (short term), CFDs (medium), spot/ETF (long); method requires only sufficient liquidity (p264).
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## 3. FIGURES
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- p209 (order flow footprint, two-candle reversal): large bearish candle, Delta -312, absorptions inside; then bullish initiative candle: ASK imbalances, relatively high volume, Delta +607. Price turns up.
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- p212 fig1 (bullish control + test): price in mid-uptrend after a bullish reversal. Large bullish candle, good volume, positive delta = bullish control; imbalance level = candle VPOC extended right. Price returns above it, then two-candle reversal with good delta rotation: bearish candle reaches the level with DECREASING volume (rejection), next bullish candle with large volume leaves new ASK imbalance; price continues up. fig2: bearish control on large-range, large-volume candle with big negative delta; BID imbalance coincides with a heavily-traded level (HVN) projected right for a short continuation (15-min chart; drop to 5-min for reversal on the test).
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- p214 (fractality, three charts): same reversal pattern as 3-candle setup (left), one session profile (centre, P/b shape: absorption inside bell, initiative = breakout), multi-day structure (right).
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- p215 (control fractality, NinjaTrader): profile launched on the last bearish impulse; its VPOC = sellers' control zone; price later retests it to sell; the control itself was produced by a minor redistribution that created the HVN.
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- p220-221 (scheme): four boxes: 1 Context (what: buy/sell), 2 Zones and levels (where), 3 Scenario planning (how: movement), 4 Position management.
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- p222-223 (ideal accumulation, range then trend; four trade points): (1) three trades at the range extremes (Volume Profile range-extreme principle); after Spring price recovers value area -> Wyckoff looks for test toward structure top while VP reversal trade targets opposite VA end; benefit first on Spring, then (2) inside range at Spring test or higher LPS; after price leaves equilibrium (trend context) (3) test after breakout: Wyckoff incorporation above Creek, VP continuation above the Value Area High; (4) mid-trend, away from value area, wait for pullback to re-enter.
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- p237 (one-movement example): range, potential Spring; single movement down to test, then buy trigger.
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- p238 (two-movement example): potential Spring in probable accumulative range; (1) bullish breakout, (2) test, then buy.
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- p239 (alternative scenario): top of structure, expected breakout test long; price re-enters, refuses to rise, leaves Upthrust -> switch to short.
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- p241 fig: Spring then SOSbar with reversal pattern on footprint (trigger confirmation).
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- p243-244 figs: Buy Limit at potential Spring test shown failing (price keeps falling) vs waiting for the aggressive buying at the test.
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- p246 fig long: potential Spring -> SOSbar; Buy Stop above bar; SL no.1 below trigger candle, no.2 below whole structure; protected by imbalances, VWAP, profile VAL (=LVN). fig short: SOWbar; Sell Stop under low; SL no.1 above its high, no.2 above the reversal's highest high, no.3 beyond profile VPOC; profile VAL = LVN coincides with ICE.
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- p248-249 (DVPOC/naked VPOC): P-shaped profile; bearish run to old DVPOC (1), V-reversal up to another current-session DVPOC (2); tested DVPOC (3) not valid. Second chart shows magnetism of DVPOC and naked VPOC, with a reversal following.
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- p252-253 case 8.1 EURUSD $6E, 2-3-6 Jul 2020 (range extremes + trend away from value): SC, AR, ST stop the down move -> range; UA in Phase B tests the structure highs, which are an LVN (day-1 profile) acting repeatedly as rejection until crossed at speed; Spring + test start the bullish imbalance. Footprint of Spring: delta rotation -240 to +183; bearish candle shows no clear absorption but price has no continuation after wide-range high-volume bearish candle and reverses with same aggression (effort/result divergence). Next: continuation model - control (max-trade zone in bullish candle) then test at that zone. Volume decreases during development, more bullish Weis waves, and day-3 profile reads as finished auction at the Spring (lack of interest in lower prices). In trend away from value: VPOC migrations followed almost immediately by up moves (C1, C2); C3 = visit to weekly VWAP, then new impulse up. Targets: tp1 = old HVN (also left a Developing VPOC); tp2 = relevant previous high (liquidity).
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- p254-255 case 8.2 GBPUSD $6B, week 29 Jun-3 Jul 2020 (range inside + trend interacting with value): operating profile = previous week's. Box 1: inside value just above profile VPOC -> bullish continuation bias. Lower structure with potential Spring coincides with test at an operating level; first up imbalance breaks profile top; bullish Weis wave stands out (strong participation) then following action shows lack of interest (minor accumulation broke up). Buy zone = confluence of VAH of broken weekly profile + weekly VWAP (green) + top of previous accumulation (Creek); one movement needed. Trigger on footprint: two candles with positive delta 685 and 793 leaving ASK imbalances. Order: buy stop above the bullish candle's breakout, SL at the bearish candle's low; target = untested naked VPOC / prior high.
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- p256-257 case 8.3 ES, 17 Jul 2020 (range inside, bullish reversion principle; 15-min then 5-min): price exits below prior-day value area; expected short on test of previous VAL (continuation of bearish principle) but price shakes out downward and re-enters value area. Pullback to zone where WAPs converge (slightly below VAL, not enough confidence), then opportunity as price returns to VA and leaves a test inside. 5-min: Wyckoff structure clearer - weak stopping action, sideways, Spring + test, then breakout; Weis wave shows institutional support; price does not re-enter range; BUEC potential. Footprint: bullish candle with above-average volume and strongly positive delta (more relevant than visual absorption) = buy. Target 1 = opposite VA end (VAH), coincides with old VPOC.
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- p258-259 case 8.4 CAD $6C, 22 Jul 2020 (range extremes): session opens inside previous day value, rotation around centre (balance). Plan: buy at VAL, sell at VAH. Price tests VAL precisely and rockets to opposite extreme; labelled potential Spring (shakes minimums of the 2-day mini structure). Footprint: ASK-column imbalance right at the Spring = entry signal. 80% rule applied. TP = test of VAH; at least move SL to breakeven; a Spring implies at least one more bullish movement.
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- p260-262 case 8.5 GBPUSD $6B, 3 Aug 2020 (trend interacting with value): operating profile = previous session. Coming from distribution so bias short; first zone = profile VAL; market goes sideways creating new value there = acceptance of the prior distribution. Zone confluence = test of broken old value and possible shakeout of new forming structure. Footprint: last bullish candle shows buying absorption (high volume, many ASK executions, upper wick, no continuation); then large negative delta = selling initiative; next bearish candle wide range, good volume, close at lows = SOWbar. TP at the old VPOC (short-term HVN).
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- p263-264 case 8.6 EURUSD $6E, 31 Aug 2020 (range inside, failed reversion): previous-day profile; price tries to leave value upward, is rejected back into range -> short entries by reversion principle; nakedVPOC drawn above; footprint deltas listed 158, 33, -196, 334, -389, 310, 61, 427 (alternating). Reversion fails above the zone: close short or flip long; entry below weekly WAP -> use less leverage (CFD).
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## 4. WARNINGS
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- Never use order flow alone; without context and a roadmap it is a coin toss (p219).
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- Wyckoff is not robot-like labelling of every move; markets show the same patterns in different forms; give the market flexibility (p251, p253).
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- Software imbalance settings change what counts as a control; don't get stuck on rigid definitions (p210).
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- Absorption may not appear in textbook form; do not require it (p253, p261).
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- High volume and wicks at a breakout are normal, not proof of a shakeout (p229).
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- Too much time spent after a breakout weakens the breakout case (p230).
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- Developing profiles are less reliable than completed ones (p232).
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- Do not use limit orders (bet on two movements) (p242-243). Stop orders do not fully protect against absorption-reversals (p242).
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- Do not chase price in a "negative sentiment" entry after being left behind (p250).
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- Tested DVPOCs are not valid targets; recent zones attract more than old ones (p247-248).
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- Do not treat HVN as an exact target; use its VPOC (p248).
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- Failed reversion trades: use levels to manage risk actively (p263).
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- Wyckoff's Phase E gives no location where behaviours should occur (p231) - need volume levels.
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- Stopping at a far VPOC may destroy risk/reward (p246).
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- The method needs sufficiently liquid assets (p264).
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## 5. OPEN
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- "Relatively high volume", "good volume", "large range", "enough distance/trajectory", "not excessive time after breakout", "proportional pullback" have no numbers (thresholds for rule-writers to define).
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- Imbalance threshold/ratio is software-dependent; number of imbalances required (1 vs 2 vs 3) left to discretion.
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- Which composite profile span and which profile (previous session/week/composite) to use is trader's choice (p233).
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- How "close" the VPOC must be before a scenario is quarantined (p235); how far the next operating level is allowed to be (p236).
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- Which stop location (candle / structure / VPOC) in each case is judged by risk/reward case by case; no fixed R multiple given.
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- Entry order type left flexible (stop recommended; market/limit also allowed) (p242).
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- Take-profit management partial vs full at VAH not specified beyond "at least breakeven" (p259).
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- Distinguishing true breakout from shakeout relies on cumulative subjective traces (p229-230).
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- Pages 265-276 contain no content: acknowledgements, author bio, ads for author's other books/course, bibliography.
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