forked from chiki2bum2/SniperGold_ML
201 lines
5.4 KiB
JSON
201 lines
5.4 KiB
JSON
{
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"generated_utc": "2026-08-24T00:00:11.561916+00:00",
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"models": [
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"logistic",
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"tree_depth3",
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"boost_small",
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"mlp16"
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],
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"metric_sets": {
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"logistic": {
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"train": {
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"roc_auc": 0.5452669902912621,
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"pr_auc": 0.3563821206055961,
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"log_loss": 0.6043003473100441,
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"brier": 0.20735261962163617,
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"balanced_acc": 0.7055393586005831,
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"win_precision": 1.0,
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"win_recall": 0.019417475728155338,
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"n": 343,
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"n_win": 103,
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"n_loss": 240
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},
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"val": {
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"roc_auc": 0.5991967871485944,
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"pr_auc": 0.38008873324407444,
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"log_loss": 0.5757370722839635,
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"brier": 0.19327589499702091,
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"balanced_acc": 0.7345132743362832,
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"win_precision": 0.0,
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"win_recall": 0.0,
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"n": 113,
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"n_win": 30,
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"n_loss": 83
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},
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"test": {
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"roc_auc": 0.6089324618736384,
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"pr_auc": 0.3970005326001917,
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"log_loss": 0.59967333716527,
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"balanced_acc": 0.6695652173913044,
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"win_precision": 0.3,
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"win_recall": 0.08823529411764706,
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"n": 115,
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"n_win": 34,
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"n_loss": 81
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}
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},
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"tree_depth3": {
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"train": {
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"n": 343,
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"n_win": 103,
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"n_loss": 240
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},
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"val": {
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"roc_auc": 0.4783132530120483,
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"pr_auc": 0.2541189144740023,
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"log_loss": 1.2236177374353694,
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"brier": 0.21857375507732488,
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"balanced_acc": 0.6460176991150443,
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"win_precision": 0.1875,
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"win_recall": 0.1,
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"n": 113,
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"n_win": 30,
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"n_loss": 83
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},
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"test": {
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"roc_auc": 0.5132534495279593,
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"pr_auc": 0.29921591062054104,
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"log_loss": 0.6511761579702366,
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"brier": 0.22204098575232803,
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"balanced_acc": 0.6521739130434783,
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"win_precision": 0.25,
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"win_recall": 0.08823529411764706,
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"n": 115,
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"n_win": 34,
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"n_loss": 81
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}
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},
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"boost_small": {
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"train": {
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"roc_auc": 0.7525485436893204,
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"pr_auc": 0.5888260027073133,
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"log_loss": 0.5771092623317469,
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"brier": 0.1958119433556162,
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"balanced_acc": 0.7026239067055393,
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"win_precision": 1.0,
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"win_recall": 0.009708737864077669,
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"n": 343,
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"n_win": 103,
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"n_loss": 240
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},
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"val": {
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"roc_auc": 0.47008032128514055,
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"pr_auc": 0.2715167501779491,
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"log_loss": 0.5912559627318619,
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"brier": 0.2000175416078136,
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"balanced_acc": 0.7433628318584071,
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"win_precision": 1.0,
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"win_recall": 0.03333333333333333,
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"n": 113,
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"n_win": 30,
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"n_loss": 83
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},
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"test": {
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"roc_auc": 0.5800653594771242,
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"pr_auc": 0.37519583495879855,
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"log_loss": 0.6162951146263919,
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"brier": 0.21323473763896028,
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"balanced_acc": 0.6782608695652174,
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"win_precision": 0.3333333333333333,
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"win_recall": 0.08823529411764706,
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"n": 115,
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"n_win": 34,
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"n_loss": 81
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}
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},
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"mlp16": {
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"train": {
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"roc_auc": 0.8352750809061489,
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"pr_auc": 0.6796298365421298,
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"log_loss": 0.4588743953108605,
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"brier": 0.15056723883592377,
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"balanced_acc": 0.7755102040816326,
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"win_precision": 0.7321428571428571,
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"win_recall": 0.39805825242718446,
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"n": 343,
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"n_win": 103,
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"n_loss": 240
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},
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"val": {
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"roc_auc": 0.3887550200803213,
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"pr_auc": 0.22147127665899768,
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"log_loss": 0.7873656060915675,
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"brier": 0.2632889575142873,
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"balanced_acc": 0.6106194690265486,
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"win_precision": 0.15,
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"win_recall": 0.1,
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"n": 113,
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"n_win": 30,
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"n_loss": 83
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},
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"test": {
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"roc_auc": 0.5954974582425562,
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"pr_auc": 0.3393685314234896,
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"log_loss": 0.8985939428976393,
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"brier": 0.3073426618221339,
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"balanced_acc": 0.5826086956521739,
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"win_precision": 0.390625,
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"win_recall": 0.7352941176470589,
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"n": 115,
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"n_win": 34,
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"n_loss": 81
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}
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}
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},
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"test_confusion": [
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{
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"model": "logistic",
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"test_WIN_predWIN": 3,
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"test_WIN_predLOSS": 31,
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"test_LOSS_predWIN": 7,
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"test_LOSS_predLOSS": 74
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},
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{
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"model": "tree_depth3",
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"test_WIN_predWIN": 3,
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"test_WIN_predLOSS": 31,
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"test_LOSS_predWIN": 9,
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"test_LOSS_predLOSS": 72
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},
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{
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"model": "boost_small",
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"test_WIN_predWIN": 3,
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"test_WIN_predLOSS": 31,
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"test_LOSS_predWIN": 6,
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"test_LOSS_predLOSS": 75
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},
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{
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"model": "mlp16",
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"test_WIN_predWIN": 25,
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"test_WIN_predLOSS": 9,
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"test_LOSS_predWIN": 39,
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"test_LOSS_predLOSS": 42
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}
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],
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"unresolved_ambiguous_counts": {
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"all_unresolved": 22,
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"all_ambiguous": 5,
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"lead_unresolved": 18,
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"lead_ambiguous": 5,
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"note": "UNRESOLVED/AMBIGUOUS retained in the dataset, excluded from the binary fit, reported here (never destroyed)."
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},
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"feature_sha16": "0414e401522ea4e2"
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}
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