ARIMA_SAX_Hybrid_Forecaster/results/EVIDENCE_LEDGER.md

29 KiB

EVIDENCE LEDGER

Artifact class: GOVERNANCE / DESIGN — canonical artifact inventory Status: MUTABLE governance artifact (grows as new evidence is produced; it never rewrites, overwrites, or modifies any evidence it describes) Gate that produced it: P0-GOVERNANCE-ARTIFACT-REMEDIATION (implementation gate, 2026-08-30) Project: ARIMA_SAX_Hybrid_Forecaster Authoritative workspace: D:\TradingTerminal\MetaTrader 5\MQL5\Shared Projects\ARIMA_SAX_Hybrid_Forecaster Remote: https://forge.mql5.io/chiki2bum2/ARIMA_SAX_Hybrid_Forecaster.git

Purpose: from disk alone, this ledger answers, for every authoritative artifact: what it is, where it lives, which role/class it has, how it was produced, which protocol/version it belongs to, and its SHA-256 identity.

Hash convention: every SHA-256 below is programmatically generated (SHA-256 of the exact bytes of each file as present in the authoritative workspace). No hash is typed by hand. Git blob identity (LF-normalized under core.autocrlf=true where the repository config applies) is verified at staging and at commit; those machine-verified values are recorded in the P0 gate report.


Classification legend

attribute values
artifact class FROZEN EVIDENCE · GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED · GOVERNANCE/DESIGN · MUTABLE/STATE · TRANSIENT
state FROZEN · CURRENT · HISTORICAL
clean-clone required yes — needed to reconstruct research state from a clean clone
tracked / hash-bound tracked — committed to the Forge repository · hash-bound — identity pinned by SHA-256 only, not committed (large/generated/regenerable)

A. Governance / controlled documents (tracked)

canonical path (repo-relative) artifact class state protocol/version SHA-256 superseded / supersedes clean-clone required tracked / hash-bound
RESEARCH_CHARTER.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED CURRENT charter v1.0 41b8179f077fc1c52866d225223b14a509e9d3b5851337b9b75058efc491babe — yes tracked
RESEARCH_RULES.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED CURRENT rules v1.0 5ef9ef43548068cc37c7772a43405198e8ade17102e6d524cb6d347be1362bf6 — yes tracked
README.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED (entrypoint) CURRENT current-governance block added P0 remediation 43a1fdf3c4fd7014197258bedce04c84bb557bc20d244d7d628df2d09e208a05 historical foundation body preserved within yes tracked
RESEARCH_PROTOCOL.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED HISTORICAL superseded for governance e855b2bd027d1a8cd844cefceff199cdcdc29108b8ed83b46fa6119b7f509507 superseded by charter/rules/state yes tracked
VALIDATION_PROTOCOL.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED HISTORICAL superseded for governance 68d3527ccde50061e28c52d6423d271bb8f81e218fcb29d393fcc7f2745dd035 superseded by charter/rules/state yes tracked
ARCHITECTURE.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED HISTORICAL superseded for governance 9d209c09fb929b7cdebad6e0f32e8869fd1dbc1b181e1a19596bd48942835f78 superseded by charter/rules/state yes tracked
CHANGELOG.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED HISTORICAL superseded for governance 852028025f3f5244ae56301a617b5ff158738f41c367dd3024aadde453b136c7 superseded by charter/rules/state yes tracked
DEFECT_LOG.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED HISTORICAL superseded for governance 1df7e438376b374409e9b977db6a496a5fb02f1e5c34b3ae2361a2b99a77c6dc superseded by charter/rules/state yes tracked
HANDOVER_R1F.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED HISTORICAL superseded for governance 93376f8c8a6a49385deecacd8d45a981308641e6173c25cb763b03b405ba83c0 superseded by charter/rules/state yes tracked
HANDOVER_R1R.md GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED HISTORICAL superseded for governance da40a80ea541d8d77a687557d52fbb7d95ef00c9fa70be0b955dbc46d4163e1b superseded by charter/rules/state yes tracked
LICENSE GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED CURRENT — c679ad3f9d4bf4b94b56f2285b8b3b378cd570bb4fd865890c9129f63a720fe6 — yes tracked
configs/default.json GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED (frozen config) FROZEN config hash ef1e3fd5… 08e2d1351c6c52d2b9fe86a09d11f4479d01a55cedafaa06281008e70b3d2e65 — yes tracked
requirements.txt GOVERNANCE/CONTROLLED CURRENT — 4da0cbd439690bb8ebed138fa6a8874118fc973606ee434dcb23a5d223eb1ef5 — yes tracked
MALE5_v3.2.0_CANONICAL_DEPENDENCY_FINALIZATION.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (dependency identity) FROZEN MALE5 v3.2.0 commit d6fb0695a7c2fbeaa03de379557a8b5447915384 d4344da59b37cb50f144a6baaf6f1394437b59206c9550356c3c6b9ba8984538 — yes tracked

B. Mutable state (tracked)

canonical path artifact class state protocol/version SHA-256 superseded / supersedes clean-clone required tracked / hash-bound
RESEARCH_STATE.md MUTABLE/STATE CURRENT checkpoint v6.0 5ed35ab28f3b02deabf7ff332bc04a9177773ed1975792bc3f5c098d318151ef — yes tracked

C. R1-R frozen family — CLOSED / IMMUTABLE (tracked)

canonical path artifact class state protocol/version SHA-256 superseded / supersedes clean-clone required tracked / hash-bound
results/R1_R/R1_R_PROTOCOL.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (protocol) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 345e065e9420cfc19beeaa97dfa64a1d1e9971f6a1b3f655a861a304269359c3 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R_PROTOCOL_MANIFEST.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (protocol/origin manifest) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 08e5a5e1f96b385a02e020a95d4c309576df4e56087ffa99bb6dd219def101db — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R_EXECUTION_MANIFEST.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (execution manifest) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 8f43716f8663bfd31578b21a710978fdc172013cc725bfbac8811d23252bc75f — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R_EXECUTION_REPORT.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (execution report) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 63d9929aa42c19dc46753985a1d51a4861d13ff8f2c1d7b7c2743eff78770fb2 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/origins_M1.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (origins) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen dbd6b7c7e2b0b1e6880987328d2705b450f99daeb029fe278ea5b455ed36c76c — yes tracked
results/R1_R/origins_M5.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (origins) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 085c011418894706b770e14f860cd6f274808b18503a056d28edcfb9ff8920b1 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/origins_M15.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (origins) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen b5c7abb9adef4e4a6a3ff49f1463d688c28ea64ff5fa24c5509aafaf68038a9b — yes tracked
results/R1_R/predictions_M1.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (predictions) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 4a15d3fd5fa4c536a397d8e7336bd9c1846f93cff201d904acbbeb9f4a441a8a — yes tracked
results/R1_R/predictions_M5.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (predictions) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen de9767c659b09705d271bb3d4a752eb8d9bd4e734f634ae5e6c7ace56b7c50d8 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/predictions_M15.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (predictions) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen a484741cb5118d3157c2e40185028729754634a164c2bc67347260ea12988ad1 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R2_METRICS.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (metrics) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 5c566af8147f74702f1ded88340fcc679caa05a3bf54bdfe2bc26ac3f73e633d — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R2_METRICS.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (metrics) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 7412aee3a6eab2233b123d86dbce38fef6bdbce4124d1d8fbf42953b763c8004 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R2_REPORT.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (report) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 1efb2173156d94cd987a6c83404a4067d516920f7d3669c5e980b32227b63ec8 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R2_SEGMENTS.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (segments) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 508bc6d1909e1c3a0f954e1f0ee7376442eaacadfb9f0c0266c64f52712a1d40 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R3_INFERENCE.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (inference) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 075ffbeb8939e80e24e780750b0524ac1978a498a622986a68b4576efac44c2c — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R3_INFERENCE.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (inference) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen fe09e089ab495483cfe6102112d5e29cfed7abc3f7cdfc07ea64e955b9e805c9 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R3_REPORT.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (report) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen d1c51514dd4d512e7b06ab075ea00a95d2550105a0bb9f6e0534eea39a2aea91 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R4F_FORENSIC.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (forensic) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen c9839ab05848fd6b20e96adfcf001689689795855d87bbae70b81c73aff19c48 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R4F_FORENSIC.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (forensic) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen c848dd4f0faf0fccb37e9f825e7fdb41a8824c72a06d4915f3df42d793dc5aa6 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R4V_TICK_VALIDATION.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (tick validation) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 1fb961c131883872994dd49b29b952d56fa35ae1c3012dd6889f5053f244081f — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R4V_TICK_VALIDATION.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (tick validation) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen d3e6daee4bf3905f6822c62f84e25a2e8a245be42e0ec3800a806b322631cbe3 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R4_ECONOMIC.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (economic) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen b0100ff14ce8a72b9900aa04cdfcce392c8815a4a6f6d9800e53b85c98af3a76 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R4_ECONOMIC.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (economic) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 654cc075cd9defefee196c7cc014ff30d6dca846dea735a97053aa96fd07aa28 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R4_REPORT.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (report) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen a34d9dae9ba364ac75d41f3f07b0f52f8b030773272eacc00417b2342c719332 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R5_FINAL_SYNTHESIS.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (synthesis) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen 8105af5ccd0d8b0172e0a188ba6b4819c07810152816fe8cf5ffb7b0af7f69e3 — yes tracked
results/R1_R/R1_R5_FINAL_SYNTHESIS.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (synthesis) FROZEN r1-r-v0.1.0-frozen c3ef833aa39447450f91f0b80fb5836b701b71241df8a1e6b31d69cb7f730068 — yes tracked

Note: alternate origin-run directories under results/ (e.g. R1_R_*_runA/B, R1_R_check_run2) are derived/transient provenance material — not authoritative, hash-bound at most, never tracked.

D. R2-H frozen family — EXECUTED / NULL / IMMUTABLE

canonical path artifact class state protocol/version SHA-256 superseded / supersedes clean-clone required tracked / hash-bound
results/R2-H/R2_H_PROTOCOL.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (protocol) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen 422d66d68bdaff71e94a2f3f3dbd853d8315f6a36c18776ccdecd1a6517165ac — yes tracked
results/R2-H/R2_H_MANIFEST.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (manifest) FROZEN R2-H-MANIFEST-v0.1.0-frozen 7579a82a648bd5b7bcb4e0ffb7446f55faf890e0f5015948e7134419ab1645c3 — yes tracked
results/R2-H/R2_H_EXECUTION_MANIFEST.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (execution manifest) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen 011fddc0a556d4bd016c49629b0759d242799580748cabb401aa7838df68902f — yes tracked
results/R2-H/R2_H_REPORT.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (execution report) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen f1c08d878e0b3148d4f8cad979ccb66c580b6641b8bdf1b56cbfd1090f2b695e — yes tracked
results/R2-H/R2_H_INFERENCE.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (NULL inference) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen eba57f4ba329cbc9f5a079fac619ef0e17fd86c0148b2e45852db90d9d1cc74a — yes tracked
results/R2-H/origins_H015.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (origins) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen fb5a36e93c8f9c7b0fee638d35d551778f1a27cbc50e0727556cf6a1d8c5c7df — yes tracked
results/R2-H/origins_H060.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (origins) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen e7b5132c321f5350ec1e231d49d68dbc29468cdf9ee6a5014a2764aaf36eb9af — yes tracked
results/R2-H/origins_H240.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (origins) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen 3ad65e94f46731e65b8d40cf2b7746a6c0bd2eafe43216178d9e6e6c6ebcb910 — yes tracked
results/R2-H/predictions_H015.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (predictions) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen 6ec7334c782999d7169bc4589b732ee85d93f7463fc8ceb47b9e54824eaf0e3b — yes hash-bound (large)
results/R2-H/predictions_H060.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (predictions) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen abe8d26c040c543fdb8d94391b9678863165a981feeadafe3d9470212c560e5d — yes hash-bound (large)
results/R2-H/predictions_H240.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (predictions) FROZEN r2-h-v0.1.0-frozen 3e84e32c38f38c626d42ec128a3d9a01c172173cdf021bb9bc52997382977343 — yes hash-bound (large)
results/R2-H/R2_H_LIFECYCLE.md GOVERNANCE/DESIGN (sidecar) CURRENT (MUTABLE) — 7f686a1f516e246063c59db206cca24c5b3472178d05076488f5076c82e8d23f — yes tracked

E. MALE5-ML family — scientific result CLOSED (INCONCLUSIVE), engineering verified, forensic validation PASS

canonical path artifact class state protocol/version SHA-256 superseded / supersedes clean-clone required tracked / hash-bound
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_PROTOCOL.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (protocol) HISTORICAL / FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.0-frozen 6226f12be14e1ed805542c0be84273cd20b1cee0a7ffecfb0b594eec2f5d8e7f superseded by male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_MANIFEST.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (manifest) HISTORICAL / FROZEN MALE5-ML-MANIFEST-v0.1.0-frozen 4b74328b4d9495f3dba6acd17cf5b6d415aa1ad7d026708ff6e54e53a3a6c1b2 superseded by v0.1.1 manifest yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_PROTOCOL_v0.1.1_AMENDED.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (protocol) FROZEN / CURRENT male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen d3c416f19662b8397e7bfa85b72ca27d6033387e427b295cb839788a3112eda1 supersedes v0.1.0 protocol yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_MANIFEST_v0.1.1_AMENDED.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (manifest) FROZEN / CURRENT MALE5-ML-MANIFEST-v0.1.1-frozen 5cfc5d2bdbe88c235f45da821efaac6d3d80c8ab8e6e9652f2a525048fbbd1c5 supersedes v0.1.0 manifest yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_DEPENDENCY_AMENDMENT_REPORT.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (dependency amendment identity) FROZEN amendment of male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 068ebbeb3d2980dc410ce0786bb672414feff670db5bdadaaba79a4f3a4c14fe — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_EQF1_NATIVE_VERIFICATION.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (EQF1 verification) FROZEN MALE5-v3.2.0-EQF1 510918a6300b89c502a712b5962e906ba510b0497b43b4c81f52de601c9ecba6 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_EQF1_NATIVE_VERIFICATION.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (EQF1 verification) FROZEN MALE5-v3.2.0-EQF1 e8b84882ee90c4ecce30c18d7565632b205ec25f1fa510a24a8d477ab7f399e2 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_EQF1_RUNNER_INTEGRATION.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (runner integration) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 77b57598438d0d34d19ee54201b6f0c7881a176f4602c6323133e454d519ff05 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_EQF1_RUNNER_INTEGRATION.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (runner integration) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen ad1345dfae6e12f72fdebf9942167ffd27721af5dcd660f0f5847095b23e8a46 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_EXECUTION_MANIFEST.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (computation-blocked execution) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 381e62c317733057561e280770a6e06b4178afdc687e7312edb2dce09ce2ec97 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_EXECUTION_REPORT.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (computation-blocked execution) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen a16d3f45b9d68e792b62e0d0786a0b329ea20d4dce2f250a1e242d4e9d67f755 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_EXECUTION_FAILURE_EVIDENCE.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (computation-blocked execution) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 362fc7ac2ce559c6f3b5e3a98acb7adb772ec5bd0c38f5708042ed40f3bdcc5b — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_PARALLEL_HARNESS_VALIDATION.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (harness validation) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen d0dc99ae628bb90c096ffb73777bc2303d97e271987b39c0efdd5b49980c337d — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_PARALLEL_HARNESS_VALIDATION.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (harness validation) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 5e884c5e87b6d4132cda58b323143ea6df29a6ca67cbe6fc408f25f98ece9ef0 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/parallel_harness_retry/MALE5_ML_EXECUTION_RETRY_ARCHITECTURE.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (retry architecture) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen d11a73c1b34e7b68ef404cbcf7dd5ba1ac4d286e54c9f1dcb935dd95ab75e9b7 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/parallel_harness_retry/MALE5_ML_EXECUTION_RETRY_ARCHITECTURE.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (retry architecture) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 87a866e7b2a9f88f58fbd375a6f67122ebcd42d87a26f34cebc52e912f0c2b05 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_P0_GOVERNANCE_ARTIFACT_RESOLUTION_DESIGN.md GOVERNANCE/DESIGN (P0 design record) CURRENT P0 remediation design a0d16328d6ef6d0f2ee15b8bc919e5486e472cac63835017f95bfc019082a5b0 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_LIFECYCLE.md GOVERNANCE/DESIGN (sidecar) CURRENT (MUTABLE) — d8299b345ed802145e62f230f1e3e267ccc916348b55bd6b38dbdcbd956f0a16 — yes tracked
results/MALE5-ML/predictions_H060.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (predictions) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 1cf8d1ad62a20c86dec45724ddc8aca4bb864f9114060d669f3897113d3f78cc — yes hash-bound (large)
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_EXECUTION_MANIFEST_20260830.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (execution manifest) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 73766780dc12733e6664aa5cfeec11b0d9a4d412d508d04144f43c8bd659756d — yes hash-bound
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_EXECUTION_REPORT_20260830.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (execution report) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 4d7c09413bc53399df201482f91b67c969391ed508a194bc5a2cda968b7a04af — yes hash-bound
results/MALE5-ML/real_run_20260830/metrics_H060.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (metrics) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 8b7864b268f877e83a52a5a1a324ac7c085fb0871db54c66065cc101c03ad42a — yes hash-bound
results/MALE5-ML/real_run_20260830/mbb_H060.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (MBB) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 49424e769f11979bca6553da0dfc26c3061c8b27aebadfc1c76d863b00ec7437 — yes hash-bound
results/MALE5-ML/real_run_20260830/forensic_H060.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (forensic) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 55ddd454fcd000bf078fc09c578e1aad637b501108ceaf8e0526531087f0aede — yes hash-bound
results/MALE5-ML/real_run_20260830/baselines_H060.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (baselines) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 44e12612489fc644ee1388be767b2ebe42526d6e461471a694b4c0506064a778 — yes hash-bound
results/MALE5-ML/real_run_20260830/prediction_integrity.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (prediction integrity) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen 4afb0b14f376c14e9649aa116c5bb520a8da9a31e8cfb64c6e6100cfcecd9dfe — yes hash-bound
results/MALE5-ML/real_run_20260830/mutation/no_lookahead_mutation.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (no-lookahead mutation) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen dde4b85cd511f568c35fa8cd5287dea86c7caa8496189959845e665309ca23e0 — yes hash-bound
results/MALE5-ML/MALE5_ML_SCIENTIFIC_CLOSURE_20260830.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (scientific closure) FROZEN male5-ml-v0.1.1-frozen b0e3508647b28860c1c4776346879394d2e3d51efe3b0378f7252e615dd4f587 — yes tracked

Note: MALE5-ML real-data execution completed 2026-08-30 on the frozen 3,169 H060 origins (validated parallel retry harness, 8 workers, MALE5-v3.2.0-EQF1). Scientific classification: INCONCLUSIVE — significant edge vs Drift only (MBB 95% CI lower bound > 0); no significant edge vs Majority; economically not viable (net/trade CI < 0). Primary prediction artifact results/MALE5-ML/predictions_H060.csv; see MALE5_ML_EXECUTION_REPORT_20260830.md. No MALE5-ML artifact asserts a positive or negative scientific result beyond the recorded INCONCLUSIVE classification of this execution run.

F. Hash-bound external / derived inputs (not tracked)

canonical path artifact class state SHA-256 tracked / hash-bound
results/R1_real_data/XAUUSDc_M1_raw.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (source dataset, M1) FROZEN (external input) 5472357e67f70f7d1bfef8f9de67fcce91ee6f26208072d7a6766b06c158ee6e hash-bound
results/R1_real_data/XAUUSDc_M1.csv FROZEN EVIDENCE (dataset, derived view) FROZEN (external input) bb35ab1c494ecd0adc886581220a9eb6418af890f5cfa08a1fd416a58c8904d7 hash-bound
results/R1_REAL_DATASET_MANIFEST.json GOVERNANCE/DESIGN (dataset provenance manifest) CURRENT 5030926344c275d16eec258f9034a356e742093ca1a74f3eeb8527c1150e009f hash-bound

G. Transient artifacts — never authoritative

Scratch outputs, probe logs, __pycache__/, *.pyc, caches, benchmark/probe artifacts, results/MALE5-ML/artifacts_parallel/, isolated scratch runners, and other generated intermediates under results/ are TRANSIENT: git-ignored, outside this canonical inventory, and never used to draw a scientific conclusion.


H. DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE family — DESIGN FROZEN, EXECUTION NOT AUTHORIZED

canonical path artifact class state protocol/version SHA-256 superseded / supersedes clean-clone required tracked / hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_PROTOCOL_DESIGN_v0.1.0.md GOVERNANCE/DESIGN (predecessor design) CURRENT (predecessor) design distributional-magnitude-protocol-design-v0.1.0 1d04014285ef06c0509c45a1a3890d365f0ba2470eac065d6936871a6e068e5a superseded by frozen protocol v0.1.0 yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_DESIGN_MANIFEST.json GOVERNANCE/DESIGN (predecessor manifest) CURRENT (predecessor) DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE-DESIGN-MANIFEST-v0.1.0 b651f4618f3aa7820f31bcf1583b9ec707bcd1c219196387ff7a0cb4eb87a9cd superseded by frozen manifest v0.1.0 yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_PROTOCOL_v0.1.0.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (protocol) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen d819c2e59074f6f24352dabe600837d0c77099f67f6fc26725d32f40f8e4034c supersedes design v0.1.0 yes tracked
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_MANIFEST_v0.1.0.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (manifest) FROZEN DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE-MANIFEST-v0.1.0-frozen 75a8bfb3a5debd332f3494ca75656e5fb2f295e8a1df050ef700499ee7fe758c supersedes design manifest v0.1.0 yes tracked
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/execution/real_run_20260831/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_EXECUTION_REPORT.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (execution report) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen 2486f10272e97bde8a124318515d352d97ad0b1a0e69a28b2a36558116b4a8c5 — yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/execution/real_run_20260831/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_HARDSTOP_EVIDENCE.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (hard-stop evidence) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen 36ccc4e6e96a63beee3774206984d5852364b80448ce271ad6d822b27312a0bc — yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/execution/real_run_20260831/forensic/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_HARDSTOP_FORENSIC.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (forensic report) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen 9a7867087c294a7d8aa3cdf2b120d5c67da6d67b46b24b2f706e1d679be1bac2 — yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/execution/real_run_20260831/forensic/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_HARDSTOP_FORENSIC.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (forensic report, machine-readable) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen 5e2fb8199fea891beb9411776d4d4e4339980e57262384186a81951d80dc922c — yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/execution/real_run_20260831/forensic/trace_frozen_origin82467.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (diagnostic trace) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen e210bb0f09feec730c8a977ef88d335f58664e764dbebe0056e435b6a4d1f7a8 — yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/execution/real_run_20260831/forensic/independent_solver_crosscheck.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (diagnostic trace) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen 93b5526749796772e32c6cf5052ed7556f4fcdb91a41b5c4f79ead492b5dbd0d — yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/execution/real_run_20260831/forensic/numerical_failure_audit.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (diagnostic trace) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen 44588a6e4bb86be6e725e6ecc8da3346e7e1d535eeece6701b119e051385d192 — yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/execution/real_run_20260831/forensic/driver_module_separation.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (diagnostic trace) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen 4e69f1ab04c014d078974b48a8be23c38c4ff87f4a86d6e4746bdd064e08a3b4 — yes hash-bound
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_SCIENTIFIC_CLOSURE_20260831.md FROZEN EVIDENCE (scientific closure) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen a6af19e42d7e03ca8960514eb4ba68c112c342ea9f885f699bf89a7e6b1469e5 — yes tracked
results/DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE/DISTRIBUTIONAL_MAGNITUDE_SCIENTIFIC_CLOSURE_20260831.json FROZEN EVIDENCE (scientific closure manifest) FROZEN distributional-magnitude-protocol-v0.1.0-frozen d21ef94eb53eb345de0b6788382103f0955d7ea66985f99f32cfd99b55335b79 — yes tracked

Note: the frozen protocol and manifest are tracked at this gate (freeze commit docs: freeze distributional magnitude protocol). The predecessor design document and design manifest were produced by the document-revision gate (uncommitted; the results/ ignore rule applies) and are hash-bound. RESEARCH_STATE.md remains checkpoint v5.0 (NOT modified by the freeze). The DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE family is DESIGN FROZEN — EXECUTION NOT AUTHORIZED; the CRPS regression battery remains DEFERRED_TO_PRE_EXECUTION_GATE.

Update (2026-08-31, DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE-EXECUTION-CLOSED): ONE controlled execution attempt (RUN_ID dm-ex-20260831-01) was authorized and executed on the frozen protocol; the run terminated INVALID (FITTING_FAILED / NO_CONVERGENCE_AFTER_100 at origin 82467, ordinal 643); forensic validation PASS; failure authenticated as frozen-machinery failure; the 642 partial origins are excluded from all scientific inference; the scientific closure was registered (see Section H rows above); RESEARCH_STATE.md advanced to checkpoint v6.0 (EXECUTION_INVALID / NO_SCIENTIFIC_RESULT); frozen protocol and manifest unchanged; no retry authorized.

Document control

Version Date Gate Change
1.0 2026-08-30 P0-GOVERNANCE-ARTIFACT-REMEDIATION Initial canonical evidence inventory.
2.0 2026-08-30 MALE5-ML-EXECUTION Appended MALE5-ML execution evidence (predictions/manifest/report/metrics/MBB/forensic/baselines/integrity/no-lookahead, all SHA-256 pinned) and refreshed the RESEARCH_STATE.md identity (checkpoint v4.0, classification INCONCLUSIVE).
3.0 2026-08-30 MALE5-ML-SCIENTIFIC-CLOSED Appended MALE5-ML scientific closure evidence (MALE5_ML_SCIENTIFIC_CLOSURE_20260830.md, SHA-256 pinned, scientific classification INCONCLUSIVE, scientific closure role) and refreshed the RESEARCH_STATE.md identity (checkpoint v5.0, SCIENTIFIC_RESULT_CLOSED).
4.0 2026-08-31 DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE-PROTOCOL-FREEZE Corrected Section B RESEARCH_STATE.md identity pin to checkpoint v5.0 (hash 10f4b00c…; was stale v4.0 / 1615b657…) and appended Section H registering the DISTRIBUTIONAL / MAGNITUDE family (predecessor design artifacts hash-bound; frozen protocol d819c2e5… and frozen manifest 75a8bfb3… tracked). Status: DESIGN FROZEN — EXECUTION NOT AUTHORIZED; CRPS battery deferred to pre-execution gate.
5.0 2026-08-31 DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE-EXECUTION-CLOSED Registered DISTRIBUTIONAL-MAGNITUDE execution, forensic, and closure evidence (execution report 2486f102…, hard-stop evidence 36ccc4e6…, forensic report 9a786708…/5e2fb819…, diagnostic traces e210bb0f…/93b55267…/44588a6e…/4e69f1ab…, scientific closure a6af19e4…/d21ef94e…, all SHA-256 pinned) and refreshed the RESEARCH_STATE.md identity (checkpoint v6.0, EXECUTION_INVALID / NO_SCIENTIFIC_RESULT). Run dm-ex-20260831-01 closed INVALID — NO SCIENTIFIC RESULT; no retry authorized.

Self-identity: the SHA-256 of the committed bytes of this ledger itself is recorded (machine-generated) in the P0 remediation gate report (FROZEN_ARTIFACT_HASH_CHECK / COMMIT sections), because a ledger cannot contain its own final hash without self-reference.


End of EVIDENCE_LEDGER.md.